Preview: Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | Serie A 2025-26

Both teams are fighting hard to get out of the relegation zone.
Stadio Artemio Franchi is getting ready for a big Tuscan derby. Fiorentina play Pisa in a match with huge stakes for the Serie A survival race. Both sides are currently stuck in the bottom three.
Fiorentina are in eighteenth place. Pisa sit just one spot below them in nineteenth.
The home team come into this game after a rocky run of form. They only managed two wins in their last six league matches.
The Viola have seen plenty of the ball lately. However, they are struggling to turn that possession into goals. They also keep giving opponents chances to get through gaps in the defence.
Pisa head to Florence with a record that is just as tough. They haven’t won a game in 14 matches across all competitions.
Manager Oscar Hiljemark leans on a stubborn defence. This approach has helped the Nerazzurri pick up nine draws away from home this season.
Still, the visitors don’t find the net often. They count on Stefano Moreo to lead an attack that barely scores once a game. History points toward a tight, defensive game.
The teams drew 0-0 the last time they met at the Arena Garibaldi. Fans expect a high-pressure environment. In the end, one sharp finish will likely decide the game and shape the relegation fight.
Kick-off:
- Location: Florence, Italy
- Stadium: Artemio Franchi Stadium
- Date: Monday, February 23
- Kick-off Time: 11 PM IST
- Referee: Maurizio Mariani
- VAR: In use
Form:
Fiorentina: W-W-D-L-L
Pisa: L-D-L-L-D
Players to watch
Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Moise Kean is the main man for goals for Fiorentina. They are desperate to pull away from the bottom three. The Italian forward has already scored seven league goals in 22 games this season.
However, his high expected goals (xG) of 13.41 tell a story. He keeps getting into the right spots, but he is missing the final touch. The manager builds the attack around him as the focal point.
He has to start finishing these big chances to grab important points. Even with his recent ankle issues, he is still a physical force. He helps rattle the other team’s defence when his team pushes forward.
Stefano Moreo (Pisa)
Stefano Moreo is the main threat up front for Pisa. They are fighting to snap a long winless run. He actually has a better average rating than Kean at 6.88.
Even so, the veteran striker has only scored five times in 24 matches. He is key to holding the ball up. This lets teammates like Mehdi Léris get involved when the team are on a break.
His work in defence is also important. Pisa often play a safe, tight game to scrape for draws when they are away from home.
Match Facts:
- Pisa enter the match with 12 draws in 25 games; the highest in Serie A, while eight of those stalemates have come on the road, where they remain winless in 12 attempts this season.
- Fiorentina’s Marin Pongračić leads the league’s “danger zone” with 50 fouls and 8 yellow cards. He is facing a Pisa side that have committed the second-most fouls in the bottom half of the table (328) yet remains one of the few teams without a red card this campaign.
- Despite being 18th, Fiorentina have recorded 129 successful diagonal switches of play to exploit wide areas, whereas Pisa’s Stefano Moreo has accounted for 25% of his team’s entire goal output (5 of 20) largely through vertical direct play.
Fiorentina vs Pisa Betting Tips and Odds:
- Total goals under 2.5: 2.00 (Bet365).
- Both teams to score – Yes: 1.82 (Mozzart).
- Fiorentina to win: 2.82 (Bet365).
Injuries and Team News
Fiorentina are dealing with a thin squad right now. A mix of injuries and suspensions means several players will miss the next Serie A match. Albert Gudmundsson is still sidelined with an ankle issue, and the latest medical word is that he won’t be back until early March 2026.
The Viola will also be without Mandragora and Vanoli because of their suspensions. Meanwhile, Tariq Lamptey is still working through rehab for his knee injury.
Pisa are in a similar boat, with four key players stuck in the treatment room. Adrian Semper, Onurhan Vural, and Marco Scuffet are all recovering from various knee and muscle problems. They are all aiming to return to the pitch by early March.
Jan Denoon is the biggest question mark. He is fighting a muscle strain that might keep him out of the starting lineup for this big game.
Head-To-Head stats
- Total matches: 26
- Fiorentina won: 10
- Pisa won: 7
- Draws: 9
Predicted Lineups
Fiorentina Predicted Starting Lineup (4-3-3):
Luca Lezzerini; Dodo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Fabiano Parisi; Marco Brescianini, Niccolò Fagioli, Jacopo Fazzini; Jack Harrison, Moise Kean, Niccolò Fortini.
Pisa Predicted Starting Lineup (3-4-2-1):
Nicolas; Simone Canestrelli, Antonio Caracciolo, Rosen Bozhinov; Idrissa Toure, Felipe Loyola, Michel Aebischer, Samuele Angori; Stefano Moreo, Matteo Tramoni; Filip Stojilkovic.
Match Prediction:
Fiorentina will narrowly overcome Pisa 1-0 because the Viola’s home dominance at the Franchi creates a tactical advantage. Although Moise Kean struggles with finishing, his physical pressure should eventually break a stubborn Pisa defence that currently allows too many shots from central areas.
Since both squads sit deep in the table, fear of losing keeps the play tight. However, Fiorentina’s superior midfield depth provides the late spark needed to secure three points.
Prediction: Fiorentina 1-0 Pisa
Telecast Details
India: DAZN
Italy: Sky Sports, DAZN
UK: DAZN
USA: Paramount+, DAZN
When and where is the Fiorentina vs. Pisa match taking place?
The match kicks off at 11 PM IST on Monday, February 23, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
Which players are leading the attack for both teams in this relegation battle?
Moise Kean is the primary goal threat for Fiorentina with seven goals, while Stefano Moreo leads the line for Pisa with five goals this season.
Where can fans in India watch the live telecast of the game?
Viewers in India can stream the match live on the DAZN platform.
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