Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds

Los Blancos have only lost one of their last 17 matches in the knockout stages of UCL.

Real Madrid are all set to host their fellow Spanish opponents, Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League 2024-25 round of 16 first-leg. Diego Simeone’s men had a good UCL run, which directly qualified them for the last 16 stage. Real Madrid on the other hand, had to go through the playoffs phase, where they defeated Manchester City.

Carlo Ancelotti’s men will be under some pressure even at home. Although they are coming in after taking down Man City in the previous round, Real Madrid lost their last LaLiga fixture against Real Betis, which is going to be a concerning thing for the defending champions of the UEFA Champions League. Los Blancos will surely have some advantage of their home crowd but it will not be an easy matchup for them.

Atletico Madrid will be confident as they recently got back to the top of the LaLiga standings. Also, their league phase in the UCL went well as they only lost a couple of games and went on to win six matches. They are surely going to give a tough time to Los Blancos.

Kick-off:

• Location: Madrid, Spain
• Stadium: Santiago Bernabéu
• Date: Wednesday, March 5
• Kick-off Time: 01:30 IST / Tuesday, March 4: 20:00 GMT/ 15:00 ET/ 12:00 PT
• Referee: Clement Turpin
• VAR: In use

🌱⚽️🔁🛠️ pic.twitter.com/vq8dlmBkqv

— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) March 2, 2025

Form:

Real Madrid: D-W-W-W-L

Atletico Madrid: D-D-W-D-W

Players to Watch

Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid)

The Frenchman was the star for Los Blancos in their last UEFA Champions League fixture. Kylian Mbappe struck a hat trick for Real Madrid. Mbappe will have to step up and score some goals here if Real Madrid want to take an advantage in the UCL round of 16 first leg. The French forward can find the spaces in the opponent’s defence and will surely be looking to make full use of it.

Julian Alvarez (Atletico Madrid)

Julian Alvarez has bagged a total of 21 goals in all competitions for Atletico Madrid this season. The Argentine forward also came in as a super sub and helped Atleti win their last fixture, which was against Athletic Club. Alvarez scored the match-winning goal and led Atletico Madrid to the top of the LaLiga table.

🇦🇷 Julián Alvarez: Atleti's Player of the Month for February 🤟 pic.twitter.com/nLe4kDqUAH

— Atlético de Madrid (@atletienglish) February 28, 2025

Match Facts

• This will be the 10th meeting between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid in the UCL.
• The previous three meetings between Los Blancos and Diego Simeone’s men have ended in a draw.
• Atletico Madrid have lost each of their last three away games in the knockout stages of the European Cup.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid: Betting Tips and Odds

• Match to end in a draw @27/10 bet365
• Goals under 2.5 @93/100
• Kylian Mbappe to score @7/2 Skybet

Injury and Team News

Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Daniel Ceballos and Jesus Vallejo are injured and will not be in action. Jude Bellingham was suspended during the last UCL fixture and will not be a part of the next UCL outing. Federico Valverde is facing some physical discomfort and his availability is not confirmed.

Atletico Madrid will be without the services of Koke and Cesar Azpilicueta because of their injuries.

Head-to-Head

Total matches: 83

Real Madrid won: 42

Atletico Madrid won: 15

Draws: 26

Predicted Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-3-3)

Courtois (GK); Vazquez, Rudiger, Asencio, Mendy; Modric, Tchouameni, Diaz; Rodrygo, Mbappe, Vini Jr.

Atletico Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2)

Oblak (GK); Llorente, Gimenez, Lenglet, Galan; Simeone, De Paul, Barrios, Gallagher; Griezmann, Alvarez

Match Prediction

Historically, there is no other team which has performed better than Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League. But with their current run of form, Carlo Ancelotti’s men are likely to end the UCL round of 16 first leg against Atletico Madrid at best as a draw.

Prediction: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Telecast Details

India – Sony LIV, Sony Sports Network

UK – TNT Sports

US – fubo TV, CBS Sports Network

Nigeria – SuperSport MáXimo 3, DStv Now

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