Aryna Sabalenka's projected path to Wimbledon 2025 final

The women’s singles World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka will look to make her fourth straight Grand Slam final.

After nearly conquering clay, Aryna Sabalenka seeks history and redemption at Wimbledon 2025. The Belarusian was called a format hooligan, but after her stellar performance at Roland Garros, including a bagel and a confident win over four-time winner Iga Swiatek, everyone changed their opinion about Sabalenka’s game.

Her preparation for the prestigious tournament ended in the semifinals of the Berlin Open, where she lost to eventual winner Marketa Vondrousova. The women’s field is highly competitive, with former champions being unseeded. Hence, despite being the top-ranked player, Sabalenka has to contend with a formidable pool of players. Let’s take a look at her potential route to glory.

Round 1 – Carson Branstine

Sabalenka will play her first match on Centre Court in 48 months, taking on Canadian qualifier Carson Branstine, who is making her Wimbledon main-draw debut. Branstine’s lack of experience at this level should allow Sabalenka to settle in quickly and advance comfortably to the next round.

Round 2 – Lulu Sun / Maria Bouzkova

In the second round, the top seed will face either New Zealand’s Lulu Sun or Czech Maria Bouzkova. Both are capable players on fast courts, but neither has the firepower or consistency to match Sabalenka’s aggressive baseline game. The world No. 1 is expected to overwhelm them with her power and tenacity.

Round 3 – McCartney Kessler / Emma Raducanu / Marketa Vondrousova

The third round could present a more intriguing test. Sabalenka may face former US Open champion Emma Raducanu or rising American McCartney Kessler. While these two are manageable, it’s the third contender who could create problems for Belarus. Marketa Vondrousova, 2023 Wimbledon champion, won her first title recently in Berlin, defeating none other than Sabalenka in the semis.

The Czech might be unseeded, but is a candidate almost nobody would want to face, and has the potential to create a massive upset early in the tournament.

Round 4 – Elina Svitolina / Elise Mertens

In the fourth round, the 26-year-old is projected to meet either Elina Svitolina, a proven Slam performer and former Wimbledon semifinalist, or Elise Mertens, a consistent all-court player. Sabalenka will favor her chances against both, as she leads the head-to-head record against Svitolina 5-1, and has emerged victorious in all nine previous encounters against Mertens.

Quarter-final – Madison Keys / Paula Badosa / Donna Vekic

A re-match of the Australian Open final is possible, with Madison Keys slated to be the next challenger. The American plays well on grass and could pose a challenge on this surface if she uses her serve effectively.

The World No. 1’s best friend, Paula Badosa, will make her work hard, while 2024 semi-finalist Donna Vekic is also a strong candidate, provided she can perform consistently and keep her composure under pressure.

Semifinal – Jasmine Paolini / Qinwen Zheng / Amanda Anisimova / Jelena Ostapenko

The semifinal stage brings a mix of in-form and unpredictable opponents. Jasmine Paolini was a finalist last year, but her preparation for SW19 has been less than ideal, with a first-round defeat and a semi-final loss to Swiatek in Homburg.

Qinwen Zheng has demonstrated her potential on grass, while Amanda Anisimova is a dangerous floater and one of the few players who holds a positive head-to-head record against Sabalenka. Jelena Ostapenko, a former Wimbledon semifinalist with a fearless game, can knock out anyone when in form, regardless of the surface.

Final – Coco Gauff / Jessica Pegula / Mirra Andreeva / Elena Rybakina / Iga Swiatek

Aryna Sabalenka will have to overcome many demons if she is to reach the final. Having lost both Grand Slam finals in 2025, she could be hoping for third-time lucky, and the Belarusian would gladly accept her fate, especially at Wimbledon, the most prestigious tournament of all. However, she will have her work cut out.

Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka are closely matched rivals, as their tight head-to-head record suggests. Gauff recently took the lead by defeating Sabalenka in the Roland Garros final this June. They are likely to meet in a second straight major final. Gauff’s struggles on grass have made her an unlikely title contender at Wimbledon, leaving Sabalenka to keep an eye on other dangerous challengers in the draw.

2022 champion Elena Rybakina could be an unstoppable force if she reaches the final, while Mirra Andreeva is a dangerous player who, when on a roll, can beat anyone, as she showed at Indian Wells. Jessica Pegula boosted her title chances with her impressive triumph at Bad Homburg 2025.

Meanwhile, Iga Swiatek’s hopes of becoming the first woman to win four consecutive French Open titles were dashed by Sabalenka in the semi-finals, and she is unlikely to reach the final at Wimbledon given her struggles on grass.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram