Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2025

By Ajay Gandhar

Ajay Gandhar has been part of Khel Now since 2023 and has covered almost every Olympic sport, but Badminton, Tennis, Football, and Track and Field have his heart.

Published at :January 23, 2025 at 5:36 PM

Modified at :January 23, 2025 at 5:36 PM

Both players have been impressive at Melbourne hardcourts.

Madison Keys is on the brink of the biggest test in her pursuit of a maiden Grand Slam title as she braces for her semi-final showdown against Iga Swiatek; who has been nothing short of unstoppable on the Melbourne hard courts this year, bulldozing through the competition without dropping a set.

Will Keys find a way to disrupt Swiatek’s relentless form, or will the Pole continue her unyielding march toward the title? Let’s dive into how the match can unfold!

Match details

Tournament: Australian Open 2025
Round: Semi-final
Date: January 23
Venue: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
Surface: Hard Court (Outdoor)

Preview

Madison Keys is into her third Australian Open semis and looks like the American means business Down-Under; which started with an ego-boosting victory over Jessica Pegula at the Adelaide International. Since then, the 29-year-old has carried her momentum seamlessly to Melbourne.

Keys dominated her opponents in the early rounds of the Australian Open 2025, breezing past Ann Li, Elena Gabriela Ruse, and Danielle Collins in straight sets without breaking a sweat.

Her real test, however, came in the fourth round when she faced sixth seed Elena Rybakina, where, after dropping the first set 3-6, Keys made a miraculous comeback to win 3-6, 6-1, 6-3.

The challenges didn’t stop there! the 29-year-old, facing off against Elina Svitolina, “Tennis mom,” in the semifinals, once again found herself behind early and was down a set but the American dug in, turned the match around, and held on to win a tight one 3-6, 6-3, 6-4.

Iga Swiatek appears to be on a warpath at the Australian Open, and her actions have communicated it more loudly than any words could; The 23-year-old semifinalist at Melbourne Park in 2022 has been a force of nature on the Australian Hard-Courts this year and is clearly stating her intentions for her first Happy Slam!

Swiatek has steamrolled every opponent in her path without dropping a single set. She began her campaign with clinical victories over Katerina Siniakova and Rebecca Sramkova before dispatching Emma Raducanu and Eva Lys with equal authority.

The quarterfinals went along similarly! Swiatek sent another statement making Emma Navarro her next victim! 6-1, 6-2. Unfortunately, the American had no answers for the Pole’s brilliance.

Form

Madison Keys: W-W-W-W-W

Iga Swiatek: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

Matches: 5

Keys: 1

Swiatek: 4

Iga Swiatek has been relentless against her American rival and their last encounter was no different, where Swiatek left no room for doubt, with a masterclass straight sets (6-1, 6-3) win at Italian Open in 2024.

Stats

Madison Keys

Keys has been 12-1 this year.
Keys is 27-10 at the Melbourne Park.
Keys is 241-138, while playing at Hard Court

Iga Swiatek

Swiatek is 9-1 this year.
Swiatek is 17-6 at the Melbourne Park.
Swiatek is 171–43. while playing at at the Hard Court.

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys: Betting tips and odds

Moneyline: Keys +420, Swiatek -474
Spread: Keys +4.5 (-133), Swiatek +4.5 (+130)
Total sets/Games: Over 19.5 (-118), Under 19.5 (-110)

Match Prediction

Iga Swiatek is leaving no room for error at Melbourne this year. Out of the 10 sets she’s played, three have been flawless 6-0 wins. Her dominance is so complete that in nine of those sets, she hasn’t allowed her opponents to win more than three games.On the other hand, Madison Keys is playing some of her best tennis since the extraordinary run-in Melbourne in 2022. The American, possibly, will have to force Swiatek into a third set if they’re to upset this seemingly invincible Pole, but the way the latter has just dismantled opponents that doesn’t appear likely.

Result: Swiatek to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys, women’s singles semi-final match at Australian Open 2025?

In India, you can catch the semi-final clash between Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek on the Sony Sports Network or stream it live on SonyLiv.

Fans in the United Kingdom can watch the match live on Eurosport or Discovery Plus.

In the United States, it will be broadcast on ESPN, ESPN+, and Fubo.

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Ajay Gandhar

Ajay Gandhar has been part of Khel Now since 2023 and has expertise across a wide range of Olympic sports. While his coverage spans the Olympic spectrum, he is passionate about Badminton, Tennis, Football, and Track and Field. Beyond his primary focus areas, Ajay is also an avid kabaddi enthusiast and closely follows the sport.