Coco Gauff vs Naomi Osaka prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Naomi Osaka advanced to her first Grand Slam round of 16 clash since winning Australian Open 2021.

Naomi Osaka advanced to the US Open fourth round for the first time since her 2020 title run, defeating 15th seed Daria Kasatkina 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 in a hard-fought third-round clash. Osaka dominated the opening set, capitalizing on Kasatkina’s seven double faults, but had to regroup after dropping the second as her opponent mounted a strong fightback.

Securing the decider with a crucial break for 3-1, the four-time Grand Slam champion held her nerve to seal her best Grand Slam result since returning to the tour after giving birth in 2023. The Japanese now sets up a blockbuster fourth-round meeting with 2023 winner Coco Gauff, whom she calls her “little sister”.

Match details

• Tournament: US Open 2025
• Round: Fourth Round
• Date: September 1
• Venue: USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Centre, New York, United States
• Surface: Hard Court

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, & live streaming details

​Preview

Coco Gauff produced her cleanest performance of the US Open so far, defeating Magdalena Frech 6-3, 6-1 with solid serving, controlled aggression, and exceptional defense. After two nervy matches full of double faults, the No. 3 seed cut her errors to just four double faults while winning 18 of 25 long rallies and 10 of 11 net points, showcasing patience and tactical precision.

The 21-year-old 2023 champion raced to an early lead, recovered quickly when Frech leveled in the first set, and dominated the second with two breaks to seal a stress-free win. Advancing to the fourth round for the fourth consecutive year, Gauff credited overcoming early struggles for her improved form and looks to be a formidable rival considering her peaking form and backing of the local crowd.

Playing Gauff is equivalent to taking on narly 25,000 people as each one of them will be rooting for the local favorite. However, Osaka might be an exception and could escape the hostilities of the American crowd, given the Japanese star’s previous success at the Flushing Meadows and otherwise likeable nature.

A blockbuster contest awaits tennis fans between two of the most high profile players who deeply respect each other. They first met on tour in the third round of US Open 2019, when Osaka prevailed over a 15-year-old Gauff. The American has come a long way since, and leads this rivalry by a slender margin of 3-2, having previously met in Beijing 2024, when Osaka retired mid-way at 6-3 4-6.

Form

• Coco Gauff: W-W-W-L-W
• Naomi Osaka: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 5
• Coco Gauff: 3
• Naomi Osaka: 2

Stats

Coco Gauff

• Gauff has a 38-12 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Gauff has a 20-5 win-loss record in New York
• Gauff has won 71% of matches played on hard courts

Naomi Osaka

• Osaka has a 30-12 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Osaka has a 26-6 win-loss record in New York
• Osaka has won 68% of matches played on hard courts

Coco Gauff vs Naomi Osaka: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Gauff -134, Osaka +118
• Spread: Gauff -0.5 (-117), Osaka +1.5 (-108)
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-138), Under 22.5 (-125)
• 1st Set Winner: Gauff -130, Osaka +110
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-124), Under 9.5 (-107)

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Match prediction

Coco Gauff has struggled massively with her serving ever since she clinched the Roland Garros titles. The American fights the pressure of being a home favorite, and weights and expectations of the country. After two poor outings where she just managed to evade defeats, her third-round triumph would provide her immense confidence.

Osaka meanwhile has displayed an inspirational performance at the Flushing Meadows so far, backing up her recent Canadian Open 2025 final appearance. The Japanese likes the hard-court surface, but has lacked consistency and failed to maintain her intensity for a three-setter contest. She might steal a set off the American, but is unlikely to stir an upset.

Result: Gauff to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Coco Gauff vs Naomi Osaka, fourth-round match at US Open 2025?

The fourth-round match between Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka at the 2025 US Open will be available for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar and Star Sports. Sky UK and the Tennis Channel will broadcast the Gauff – Osaka face-off live within the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively.

For full worldwide broadcast details click here

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