Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova to face off on the Grand Slam stage for the first time

Iga Swiatek narrowly avoided dropping a set for the second time at the 2025 US Open. Forced to play a tie-break for the first time in the event, she found a way past Anna Kalinskaya in two hours with a 7-6(2). 6-4 win.

Kalinskaya scuppered her own chances of progressing after dropping 11 double faults in the third round. Seven of those came in the first set alone. The Russian let go of a 5-1 lead, besides missing three set-point opportunities, all in the opening set.

It is Swiatek’s good fortune that she finds herself in the fourth round, despite making 33 unforced errors. A misfiring first serve meant the Pole had a successful first serve percentage of only 43%.

Swiatek, the No. 2 seed, will take on Ekaterina Alexandrova after advancing to the Round of 16 at Flushing Meadows for the fifth straight year.

Ekaterina Alexandrova steamrolled Laura Siegemund, needing just an hour to cruise into the fourth round. While Swiatek took the scenic route to round four on Arthur Ashe Stadium, Alexandrova needed just 60 minutes to find a way past Siegemund, 6-0, 6-1 on Court 5. The Russian is now in the fourth round of the US Open for the first time.

Match Details

• Tournament: US Open 2025
• Round: Fourth Round
• Date: September 1
• Venue: USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Centre, New York, United States
• Surface: Hard

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, & live streaming details

​Preview

Swiatek took hold of her match against Kalinskaya by winning six of the next seven games to turn the tide, going from 1-5 to 5-5 before winning the tie-break. The Pole dropped just two games in the second set to close out the match.

The Pole has now won the 23rd main draw singles win at the US Open. If she defeats Alexandrova on Monday, she will advance to her third Flushing Meadows quarter-final.

Swiatek is not the only one who laboured to victory in the third round. Wimbledon 2025 finalist, Amanda Anisimova, stayed the course with a gritty 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 win over Romanian, Jaqueline Cristian. Anisimova needed two hours and 10 minutes to quell the spirited challenge from the unseeded  Cristian.

Form

• Iga Swiatek: W-W-W-W-W
• Ekaterina Alexandrova: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 6
• Iga Swiatek: 4
• Ekaterina Alexandrova: 2

Stats

Iga Swiatek:

• Swiatek has a 52-12 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Swiatek has a 23-5 win-loss record in New York.
• Swiatek has won 79% of matches played on hard courts.

Ekaterina Alexandrova:

• Alexandrova has a 38-18 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Alexandrova has a 12-8 win-loss record in New York..
• Alexandrova has won 58% of matches played on hard courts.

Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Swiatek -305, Alexandrova +260
• Spread: Swiatek -4.5 (-103), Alexandrova +4.5 (-137).
• Total Sets: Over 20.5 (-110), Under 21.5 (-110).
• 1st Set Winner: Swiatek -240, Alexandrova +200.
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 8.5 (-275), Under 9.5 (-139).

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Match Prediction

When Iga Swiatek crosses paths wth Ekaterina Alexandrova in the fourth round on Monday, the latter will look to thwart Swiatek’s bid for a seventh Grand Slam title. Winning the WTA 500 hard court event in Linz, edged Alexandrova up to a career-high ranking of No. 12.

The reigning Wimbledon scrappy win over Anna Kalinskaya highlighted a chink in her armour, something Alexandrova will look to exploit. The Russian, ranked higher than countrywoman Kaliinskaya, could end Swiatek’s victory march.

A 2-2 head-to-head record on hard courts makes the upcoming clash between Swiatek and Alexandrova an open-ended meeting.

Result: Ekaterina Alexandrova to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of the fourth round match between Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova at the US Open 2025?

The fourth-round match between Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova at the 2025 US Open will be available for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar. Sky UK and the Tennis Channel will broadcast the Swiatek – Alexandrova face-off live within the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively.

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