Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Novak Djokovic surpassed Federer to become the man with most hard court Grand Slam victories.

Novak Djokovic battled past Cameron Norrie 6-4, 6-7(4), 6-2, 6-3 to advance to the fourth round of the 2025 US Open, showing signs of returning to his top form after earlier fitness concerns. The four-time winner struck 51 winners, including 18 aces – his personal best at Flushing Meadows, and won 91% of his first-serve points in a strong serving display.

Despite receiving medical treatment for a back issue in the first two sets, the 38-year-old Serbian looked increasingly comfortable as the match progressed. Similar physical issues were spotted in Djokovic’s earlier rounds against Learner Tien and Zachary Svajda, and hence the attention will be on how the Serbian carries himself in the upcoming rounds against quality rivals.

Match Details

• Tournament: US Open 2025
• Round: Fourth Round
• Date: August 31
• Venue: USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Centre, New York, United States
• Surface: Hard

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, & live streaming details

Preview

Qualifier Jan-Lennard Struff stunned home favorite Frances Tiafoe 6-4, 6-3, 7-6(7) to reach his first-ever fourth round at the 2025 US Open. Backed by a strong serve and composed baseline play, Struff kept rallies short and neutralized Tiafoe’s power, holding his nerve in a tense third-set tiebreak after nearly letting the match slip when serving for it at 5-3.

This victory marked Struff’s second straight upset, following his five-set win over No. 11 seed Holger Rune in Round 2. Having come through three rounds of qualifying and a four-set opener against Mackenzie McDonald, Struff now boasts a 5-19 record against Top 20 opponents, proving his ability to rise on big stages as he eyes a potential clash with Novak Djokovic in the next round.

Both Djokovic and Struff are at the fag end of their career, but are still going strong. They have faced off seven times in the past, and the Serbian has won every time. Stunningly, Djokovic’s domination in this rivalry extends to the fact that he has dropped just one set but this will be their first meeting since the Davis Cup 2021 finals.

Form

• Novak Djokovic: W-W-W-L-W
• Jan-Lennard Struff: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 7
• Novak Djokovic: 7
• Jan-Lennard Struff: 0

Stats

Novak Djokovic

• Djokovic has a 29-9 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Djokovic has a 93-14 win-loss record in New York.
• Djokovic has won 84% of matches played on hard courts.

Jan-Lennard Struff

• Struff has a 17-22 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Struff has a 9-9 win-loss record in New York.
• Struff has won 48% of matches played on hard courts.

Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Djokovic -600, Struff +460
• Spread: Djokovic -6.5 (+100), Struff +6.5 (-129)
• Total Games: Over 35.5 (-110), Under 36.5 (-120)
• 1st Set Winner: Djokovic -300, Struff +245
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-110), Under 9.5 (+102)

ALSO READ: US Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Match Prediction

24-time Grand Slam champion Novak Djokovic is a strong favorite to advance past Jan-Lennard Struff in the 2025 US Open fourth round, boasting an 86% win probability according to predictive models and an unbeaten head-to-head record against Struff.

While the German’s aggressive game and recent momentum could challenge the former World No. 1 in spells, Djokovic’s elite returning, experience, and consistency on the big stage should prove decisive. Expect Djokovic to win in possibly four sets to reach his fourth consecutive Grand Slam quarterfinal this year.

Result: Djokovic will win in four sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of the fourth round match between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff at the US Open 2025?

The fourth round match between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff at the US Open 2025 will be available for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar. Sky UK and the Tennis Channel will broadcast the Djokovic – Struff face-off live within the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively.

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