Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

The fourth round will witness an epic showdown between two top-15 players.

Taylor Fritz, the current World No #4 finally commenced his maiden clay season in Madrid, having missed Monte Carlo and Munich earlier due to injuries. His return to clay has been interesting, as the American began his campaign with comfortable straight sets win over Christopher O’Connell.

In the second round though, Fritz dropped the first set to Benjamin Bonzi, and seemed to be in trouble. But the Frenchman soon caught an injury, which affected his play, eventually going down in the second 5-7 unable to continue. Fritz advanced to the fourth round for the third time in Madrid. Now, up against a clay specialist in Casper Ruud, the American is set to face his first real test since returning from injury.

Match details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
• Round: Fourth round
• Date: April 29
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay Court

Preview

Not long ago, Casper Ruud found himself in the top-five rankings. Hence, a battle between Ruud and Fritz in the fourth round of an ATP-1000 event seemed improbable. However, early exit in Monte Carlo, and inability to defend his Barcelona crown meant the Norwegian tennis player lost significant points.

Currently ranked #15, Ruud will be hoping to claim his first title of the season. Apart from the Dallas Open 2025, where he was a finalist, Ruud is yet to win more than two matches across the six competitions he has featured in. This poor form has cost the former World No #2 dearly, and with a long clay season coming up, it’s now or never for Ruud.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in men’s singles at Madrid Open 2025

He will hope that Madrid marks the start of a strong run, paving his way back into the ATP Top 10. Fritz, meanwhile, reached the semifinals in Madrid last year and will be well aware of the tough challenge ahead as he looks to find his rhythm and build momentum once again.

The pair last met at the US Open, where Ruud secured a four-set victory. Their only previous meeting on clay came at Roland Garros, with Ruud once again emerging victorious in four sets.

Form

• Taylor Fritz: W-W-L-W-W
• Casper Ruud: W-W-L-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 3
• Taylor Fritz: 1
• Casper Ruud: 2

Stats

Taylor Fritz 

• Fritz has a 12-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fritz has a 12-6 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Fritz has won 60% of matches played on clay courts.

Casper Ruud

• Ruud has a 13-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Ruud has a 9-6 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Ruud has won 69% of matches played on clay courts.

Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Fritz +110, Ruud -130.
• Spread: Fritz +1.5 (-120), Ruud -1.5 (-105). 
• Total games: Over 22.5 (-126), Under 23.5 (-120).

Match Prediction

A mouth-watering contest awaits in Madrid between two of the finest players of the current generation. While Ruud is arguably better suited to clay, recent form favors Fritz. Although the American hasn’t played extensively this year, he has performed impressively whenever he has stepped on court. In contrast, Ruud’s struggles have seen him slip out of the top 10 in ATP rankings.

If the Norwegian can rediscover his rhythm, he could pose serious problems for Fritz, who will rely on his big serve to stay competitive. Ultimately, fitness and the ability to return effectively will likely decide the winner.

Result: Taylor Fritz to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Taylor Fritz vs Casper Ruud, fourth-round match at Madrid Open 2025?

The fourth-round match between Taylor Fritz and Casper Ruud will be live telecast and streamed on the Sony Network in India. Sky UK will broadcast the event across the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will do the same for tennis fans in the United States.

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