Semi-final Qualification Scenarios of T20 World Cup 2026; 8 teams fight for 4 spots

A total of four teams, two from each group, will qualify for the semi-final of the T20 World Cup 2026.
The battle for the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2026 has begun with the commencement of the Super 8 round. A total of eight teams are clashing in the Super Eight stage, out of which four will seal spots in the semi-finals. The winners of both semis will book a berth in the T20 World Cup 2026 final.
South Africa, Zimbabwe, the West Indies, and India are placed in Group 1, while England, Pakistan, New Zealand, and Sri Lanka are clubbed in Group 2. Only three matches have taken place in the Super 8 Round. The New Zealand vs Pakistan game was washed out due to rain.
In the other two encounters, England beat Sri Lanka while South Africa handed India a humiliating defeat. Following their victories in the opening games, South Africa and England move to the top spot in Groups 1 and 2, respectively.
Thus, without any further ado, let’s take a look at the Semi-final Qualification Scenarios of the T20 World Cup 2026.
Super 8 Qualification Scenarios of all teams-
Group 1
South Africa- Win one of their next two matches

South Africa crushed India by a huge margin of 76 runs in their opening game of the Super Eight Round. The Aiden Markram & Co. sit at the top of the Group 1 points table with two points and a Net Run Rate (NRR) of +3.80.
If they win both of their next games, they will confirm a berth in the semi-finals. Moreover, even a win will be enough to qualify for the next round as they will top their pool.
India- Win their next two matches

After losing their opening game, Suryakumar Yadav & Co. need to win the next two games to book a berth in the semis. In such a scenario, India will finish in second spot with four points. However, the result of South Africa’s matches against Zimbabwe and the West Indies can impact their chances.
If South Africa lose one of their upcoming games against West Indies and Zimbabwe, then the winner of that match can earn four points like India. NRR will play a key role in that situation as Proteas, India, and another team can finish in the top three spots.
West Indies- Win two matches out of three

The West Indies have not played any matches in the Super 8 round. If they win all three matches, they will qualify for the semi-finals. Two victories might be enough to qualify for the next round, but one of them should be against India. If they win only one game, they will be eliminated.
Zimbabwe- Win at least two matches out of three

Zimbabwe have not played any matches in Round 2 and are in a similar situation to West Indies. Three wins will take them to the top of the points table, while two wins might secure their semi-final spot. In the latter scenario, NRR should be in their favour.
Group 2
England- Win one game out of the next two

After winning their opening game against Sri Lanka, England can steal a spot in the semi-finals if they win their next two games.
One more victory will also confirm their spot in the top two, as New Zealand or Pakistan will not be able to grab the top two places. Two defeats will send the Harry Brook-led side out of the T20 World Cup 2026.
Pakistan- Win both of the remaining games

After a washed-out game against New Zealand, Pakistan have one point in their kitty. If they win both of their next games against England and Sri Lanka, they will finish in the top two spots in the Group 2 points table and qualify for the semis. However, a defeat in one of the remaining two games will make the situation difficult for them.
New Zealand- Win both of the remaining games

New Zealand have a similar scenario to that of Pakistan. If they win their next two games, they will qualify for the semi-finals.
If they win just one game, their chances will be reduced, and NRR will come into effect. Moreover, the result of other matches will affect their qualification in the case of only one victory.
Sri Lanka- Win next two games

Sri Lanka have lost their first match to England. Now, Sri Lanka need to win their next two matches to secure a place in the semi-finals. One more defeat will lead to their elimination from the multi-national event.
Which teams have qualified for the Super 8 of the T20 World Cup 2026?
India, Sri Lanka, the West Indies, England, New Zealand, Zimbabwe, Pakistan, and South Africa have qualified for the Super 8.
How many teams from Super 8 will book berths in the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2026?
Four teams out of eight will book a berth in the semi-finals of the T20 World Cup 2026.
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Vikas Singh Derek is a core cricket-lover since childhood and has always followed the sport both in his personal and professional life. He started his school life by watching cricket at home with family. Later, he played cricket on the field at local clubs during college. After his Master's in Journalism from Mumbai, he followed his passion by covering cricket news across various digital media. Since 2015, he has been an aspiring sports journalist and cricket content writer with over 50K+ articles.