Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | Bundesliga 2025-26

First-place chasing Dortmund host relegation-threatened St. Pauli at Signal Iduna Park.

Borussia Dortmund welcome relegation-threatened St. Pauli to Signal Iduna Park this Saturday. The hosts are eyeing the Bundesliga summit. Niko Kovač’s men currently sit second in the table.

They are hot on the heels of the leaders. Meanwhile, the visitors languish in 17th place. They are desperate for points to escape the drop zone.

The Yellow Wall will demand a dominant performance. This follows Dortmund’s recent 3-0 dismantling of Werder Bremen.

Julian Brandt ran the show in that victory with clinical finishing. He remains the main playmaker the team relies upon.

👏📈 pic.twitter.com/aaYkYssror

— Borussia Dortmund (@BVB) January 14, 2026

Striker Serhou Guirassy has endured a dry spell recently. However, his physical presence constantly disrupts opposition defences. The hosts remain unbeaten at home this season. They have turned their stadium into a fortress where few opponents survive.

St. Pauli arrive in North Rhine-Westphalia with battered morale. They recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Wolfsburg away from home.

Their away form remains abysmal. However, the Kiezkicker can draw inspiration from the reverse fixture in August. They stunned BVB in that match with a chaotic 3-3 draw.

History favours the home side heavily. Dortmund have won three of the last five meetings. The sheer gap in quality suggests another long afternoon for the visitors.

St. Pauli must produce a defensive masterclass. Otherwise, Dortmund could claim all three points comfortably.

Kick-off:

• Location: Dortmund, Germany
• Stadium: Signal Iduna Park
• Date: Saturday, January 17
• Kick-off Time: 8 PM IST
• Referee: TBD
• VAR: In use

Form:

• Borussia Dortmund: W-D-W-D-D
• St. Pauli: L-D-D-W-D

Players to watch out for:

Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund):

Serhou Guirassy is Borussia Dortmund’s top scorer in the 2025-26 Bundesliga. He leads their attack with six goals from 16 matches. His ability to finish chances makes him the most likely source of goals.

Dortmund will need him in the box to secure a victory.

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli):

Joel Chima Fujita currently leads the performance rankings. He has provided three assists across 15 appearances this season. His ability to create goal-scoring opportunities makes him vital to the attack.

The team will look to his vision to break down the opposition’s defence.

Match Facts:

• The reverse fixture in August 2025 ended in a 3-3 stalemate. This suggests the ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market is a strong option.
• Dortmund have a great record in this tie. They have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine meetings.
• The hosts have turned their ground into a fortress. They sit second in the league and remain unbeaten at home.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli Betting Tips and Odds:

• Borussia Dortmund to win: 1.40 as per 1Win.
• Both teams to score – No: 1.78 as per Paripesa.
• Total goals over 2.5: 1.69 as per 1xBet.

Injuries and Team News:

Borussia Dortmund:

A muscle injury sidelines Aaron Anselmino. He will miss the next few matches while he recovers. The team does not expect him back until late January 2026.

Niko Kovač must now decide on a backline selection for this fixture.

St. Pauli:

Connor Metcalfe is suffering from a knock. This will prevent him from playing in the upcoming match. His recovery should only take a few days.

The team must cope without him for now. He should return to the squad very soon.

A calf injury is keeping Danel Sinani out of the squad. The staff does not expect him back until early February 2026. The team will play without him for the rest of the month. They must now adapt their plans.

Ricky-Jade Jones has a thigh injury. He will miss the next several weeks of action. The medical team expects him back in mid-February 2026.

The team will miss his presence in the attacking third. They must look for other options.

An ankle injury has sidelined Simon Spari. He is working to return to fitness by late January 2026. The coaching staff will do without him for a few weeks, as he is currently following a rehabilitation program.

David Nemeth is out of action due to a tendon injury. He should return to the pitch in late January 2026. His absence creates a gap in the squad. The manager will need to fill this hole soon.

Andreas Hountondji has a broken ankle. This serious injury will keep him out for a long period. He is not expected back until late April 2026. This long-term absence is a major blow for the club.

Head-To-Head stats:

• Total matches: 22
• Borussia Dortmund won: 15
• St. Pauli won: 2
• Draws: 5

Predicted Starting Lineups:

Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1): G. Kobel; N. Süle, W. Anton, N. Schlotterbeck; Y. Couto, M. Sabitzer, F. Nmecha, J. Ryerson; M. Beier, C. Chukwuemeka; S. Guirassy.

St. Pauli (3-3-2-2): N. Vasilj; A. Dźwigała, H. Wahl, K. Mets; A. Pyrka, E. Smith, L. Ritzka; J.C. Fujita, J. Sands; M. Pereira Lage, M. Kaars

Match Prediction:

Borussia Dortmund will likely be too strong for St. Pauli at Signal Iduna Park. The visitors have a depleted squad. They cannot handle the hosts’ attacking pressure.

Niko Kovač’s men usually beat weaker teams at home. We predict a comfortable 3-1 scoreline for the Yellow and Blacks.

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 St. Pauli.

Telecast Details:

India: Sony LIV, Sony Sports Network

UK: Sky Sports, BBC, Amazon

USA: ESPN+

Nigeria: StarTimes, Canal+

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