Germany vs Italy Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds

The hosts are coming with a one-goal advantage.
The Germany national football team are ready to host the Italy national football team in the UEFA Nations League 2024-25 quarter-final second leg. Julian Nagelsmann’s men did well in the first leg. The German squad were playing in the first half but later in the second half scored a couple of goals to get ahead.
The Germans will be at home which will be an added advantage for them here. They are already a goal ahead which means they will have to defend well and stand up against the early storm of Italy. They should score a goal here so that they increase their advantage to get to the UEFA Nations League semifinals. The Germany national football team are likely to get through.
The Italians will be looking to make a comeback here. It is not going to be an easy task for them as they will be away from home and scoring goals is going to be a problem for them in front of the German defence. The Italy national football team are capable of making a comeback but their attacking efforts have to be more precise.
Kick-off
- Location: Dortmund, Germany
- Stadium: SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
- Date: Monday, March 24
- Kick-off Time: 01:15 IST / Sunday, March 23: 19:45 GMT/ 14:45 ET/ 11:45 PT
- Referee: TBD
- VAR: In use
Form:
Germany: W-W-W-D-W
Italy: D-W-W-L-L
Players to Watch
Jamal Musiala (Germany)
The 22-year-old will be in action once again during the international break. As Germany are coming in with an advantage, Jamal Musiala will be helpful in controlling the midfield as well as the attacking front for the hosts. He knows how to create some good plays for the attacking front that can cause problems for the opponent’s defence.
Sandro Tonali (Italy)
The Newcastle midfielder is going to play an important role for the Italians. The visitors are behind by a goal. The midfield control is still required by the Italians and Sandro Tonalli will be looking to deliver. Tonali is also capable of scoring goals as seen in the first leg. The Italy national football team will have a chance to get through and the midfielder might play a big role here.
Match Facts
- Germany have not lost any of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Italy are now on a two-match losing streak after the first-leg defeat.
- This is going to be the 11th meeting between Germany and Italy.
Germany vs Italy: Betting Tips and Odds
- Germany to win @41/50 Bet Goodwin
- Goals under 3.5 @2/5 Bet Goodwin
- Jonathan Burkardt to score @6/1 Skybet
Injury and Team News
All of the squad members are fit and ready to be in action for Germany.
Italy will be without the services of Andrea Cambiaso, Mateo Retegui and Riccardo Calafiori. They all will not be in action due to their injuries.
Head-to-Head
Total matches: 10
Germany won: 3
Italy won: 2
Draws: 5
Predicted Lineups
Germany predicted lineup (4-2-3-1)
Baumann (GK); Kimmich, Tah, Rudiger, Raum; GroB, Goretzka; Amiri, Sane, Musiala; Burkardt
Italy predicted lineup (3-5-2)
Donnarumma (GK); Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori; Politano, Barella, Rovella, Tonali, Udogie; Kean, Raspadori
Match Prediction
The Germans have the advantage here and looking at the situation they are likely to defeat Italy once again.
Prediction: Germany 2-1 Italy
Telecast Details
India: Sony Liv, Sony Sports Network
UK: ITVX, Premier Sports
USA: fubo TV, TUDN App
Nigeria: DStv Now
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Dilpreet is a dedicated football writer with a keen eye for World Football. As a proud Real Madrid fan, we believe his work reflects the same ambition and precision. Since joining Khel Now in 2025, he has crafted stories beyond scores, diving into tactics, culture, and emotion. With a strong background in content writing, he blends clarity with creativity, always aiming to bring the beautiful game closer to readers.
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