Kairat vs Real Madrid Preview, prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | UEFA Champions League 2025-26

Real Madrid will look to brush off the Madrid derby defeat against Atletico Madrid.

On 30 September 2025, Almaty will witness football history as Kairat prepare to host Real Madrid at the Ortalyq Stadion in the UEFA Champions League league phase.

The Kazakh champions earned their place after edging past Celtic on penalties. The result gave their supporters a night they will never forget. Yet their debut in the competition was difficult, as a heavy 4-1 defeat against Sporting CP exposed the gulf in quality at this level.

📋✅ ¡Nuestros convocados!🆚 Kairat Almaty pic.twitter.com/T315zR3gy9

— Real Madrid C.F. (@realmadrid) September 28, 2025

Meanwhile, Real Madrid arrive in Kazakhstan after a bruising 5-2 derby loss to Atlético Madrid. The result ended their unbeaten run and raised questions about their defensive shape.

However, their European pedigree makes them favourites, as they bring unmatched experience and depth. Kairat hope the long journey and the fervent local crowd unsettle the visitors, though Madrid may respond with measured ruthlessness.

Kick-off:

• Location: Pavlodar, Kazakhstan
• Stadium: Ortalyq stadıon
• Date: Tuesday, September 30
• Kick-off Time: 10:15 PM IST
• Referee: Marco Guida
• VAR: In use

Form:

Kairat (In UCL 2025/26): L

Real Madrid (In UCL 2025/26): W

Players to watch out for:

Dastan Satpayev (Kairat):

Dastan Satpayev stands out as Kairat Almaty’s key player ahead of their clash with Real Madrid. He impressed in Champions League qualifying with three goals and one assist. He added 11 league goals across the season. Dastan’s sharp form, backed by consistency, makes him the forward Madrid’s defence must contain.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid):

Kylian Mbappé carries sensational form into Real Madrid’s clash with Kairat Almaty. He has scored eight goals in seven matches. He combines sharp finishing with relentless movement, and his ability to strike from every angle unsettles defences.

With 13 shots on target and an xG of 6.1, he remains Madrid’s clear threat.

Kylian Mbappé Lottin.#LaLigaHighlights | #RealMadridLasPalmas pic.twitter.com/4nKDjn1D5p

— Real Madrid C.F. (@realmadrid) January 19, 2025

Match Facts:

• This is the first-ever meeting between Kairat Almaty and Real Madrid in a UEFA competition. Kairat have never faced a Spanish club, and Real Madrid have never faced a team from Kazakhstan.
• Kairat Almaty have an impressive home record in European matches, losing only four of their last 30 home games (W19 D7). They are currently unbeaten in four home matches this season in all competitions (W3 D1), having not conceded a goal in their previous four UEFA home fixtures this term.
• Real Madrid enter the match having recently suffered a 5-2 loss to city rivals Atlético Madrid, which ended their perfect start to the season. However, they had previously secured a 2-1 victory over Marseille in their opening Champions League fixture and will be aiming to bounce back and maintain their strong start in the league phase.

Kairat vs Real Madrid Betting Tips and Odds:

• Real Madrid to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals: 1.85 as per Bet365
• Both teams not to score: 1.65 as per 1Win
• Over 3.5 goals: 1.74 as per 1xBet.

NOTE: Odds are subject to constant changes

Injuries and Team News:

Kairat Almaty enter their Champions League clash with serious concerns. João Paulo and Élder Santana face long spells out with cruciate ligament injuries. Aleksandr Zarutskiy struggles with an unspecified problem.

On the other hand, Real Madrid travel without several key figures. Dani Carvajal serves a suspension after his dismissal against Marseille. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Antonio Rüdiger remain sidelined with hamstring issues.

Furthermore, Ferland Mendy is dealing with thigh problems. Éder Militão misses the trip with an ankle bruise, which keeps him from joining the squad in Kazakhstan.

Head-To-Head Stats:

They have never faced each other before.

Predicted Starting Lineups:

Kairat Predicted Starting Lineup (4-3-3):

Temirlan Anarbekov; Daniyar Tashpulatov, Aleksandr Martynovich, Yegor Sorokin, Yerkin Tapalov; Olzhas Baybek, Valery Gromyko, Dan Glazer; Jorginho, Dastan Satpayev, Edmilson.

Real Madrid Predicted Starting Lineup (4-3-3):

Thibaut Courtois; Raúl Asencio, Dean Huijsen, David Alaba, Álvaro Carreras; Federico Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Jude Bellingham; Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappé, Vinicius Jr.

Match Prediction:

Real Madrid are definitely the clear favourites to steamroll past Kairat, who are no match for the quality of the Spanish giants. So, we expect a comfortable win for the Los Blancos.

Prediction: Kairat 0-4 Real Madrid

Telecast Details

India: SonyLIV, Sony Sports Network

UK: TNT Sports, BBC

US: Paramount+, TUDN

Nigeria: DAZN

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