Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Preview, prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds | LaLiga 2025-26

Real Madrid have amassed 30 points in 11 LaLiga games so far, while Rayo Vallecano have 14 points in the same number of matches.

In an upcoming LaLiga match on Sunday, November 9, 2025, league leaders Real Madrid will travel to the Estadio de Vallecas to face Rayo Vallecano for Matchday 12 of the 2025–2026 season. The Los Blancos will look to maintain their position at the top of the table against a Rayo side that often causes upsets.

🎟️ Información de las entradas para el partido del domingo ante el @realmadrid.#RayoRealMadrid #VamosRayo pic.twitter.com/oFm2WsqZVh

— Rayo Vallecano (@RayoVallecano) November 7, 2025

The game follows a tense history between the two Madrid-based clubs, with Rayo proving to be a difficult opponent, especially at home. Last season, the teams played out two close results, including a 3–3 draw at Vallecas in December 2024 and a 2–1 victory for Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabéu in March 2025.

While Real Madrid have an overall superior head-to-head record, recent history shows that Rayo are capable of holding their own. With the Merengues boasting a star-studded attack and Rayo Vallecano focusing on a compact defence and counter-attacks, the match promises to be a compelling battle. Real need a victory to hold off their title rivals, while Rayo will aim to leverage their home advantage to secure a positive result against the league giants.

💪 Getting ready for the match against @RayoVallecano! pic.twitter.com/q2ka4HUabk

— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) November 6, 2025

Kick-off:

• Location: Madrid, Spain
• Stadium: Estadio de Vallecas
• Date: Sunday, November 9
• Kick-off Time: 8:45 PM IST
• Referee: Juan Martínez Munuera
• VAR: In use

Form:

Rayo Vallecano (in all competitions): W-L-W-W-D

Real Madrid (in all competitions): L-W-W-W-W

Players to watch out for:

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano):

Jorge de Frutos will be key for Rayo because of his directness, quick acceleration, and ability to break lines on the counter. He drives the ball forward with intent and will look to exploit space behind Los Blancos’ high defensive line.

His movement and confidence in transition can trouble their backline. De Frutos has already scored four goals and provided one assist in 10 league games so far this season.

🎮 No podía faltar ⚡️#FC26RatingsReload nos trae un ítem especial para Jorge de Frutos… ¡ya puedes añadirlo a tu equipo!@easportsfces #FC26 pic.twitter.com/m595CWFlaA

— Rayo Vallecano (@RayoVallecano) October 18, 2025

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid):

Kylian Mbappé will be the focal threat because of his explosive pace, sharp movement, and clinical finishing. He stretches defensive lines and forces defenders into mistakes.

The Frenchman’s ability to attack space behind and create chances from nothing makes him the most dangerous player Rayo must contain. He has been sensational, scoring 13 goals and providing two assists in 11 league games so far.

🌟 @KMbappe has been nominated for The Best FIFA Men's Player Award 2025! pic.twitter.com/FDPuSu6JAD

— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) November 6, 2025

Match Facts:

• Real Madrid have a strong historical advantage, but recent matchups have been close. While the Los Blancos hold a dominant head-to-head record (33 wins to Rayo’s 7), recent results have been much tighter. The last five league matches featured two Real Madrid wins, two draws, and one Rayo victory. Their most recent meeting in March 2025 was a narrow 2–1 victory for Real.
• Rayo Vallecano have shown resilience at home against their city rivals. In their most recent home game against Real Madrid in December 2024, the teams played to a high-scoring 3–3 draw. Additionally, Rayo secured a memorable 3–2 win over Real Madrid at the Estadio de Vallecas in November 2022.
• Real Madrid enter the game in better league form. The league leaders with 30 points have won 10 of their 11 league matches this season, scoring 26 goals in the process. Meanwhile, 10th-place Rayo Vallecano have shown more inconsistent form, with a 4W–2D–5L record through 11 matches.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Betting Tips and Odds:

• Real Madrid to win: 1.54 as per 1xBet.
• Both teams to score: 1.45 as per 1Win.
• Total goals over 2.5: 1.74 as per Winmatch.

Note: Odds will constantly change.

Team News:

Rayo will miss Abdul Mumin, who continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected back until mid-November. Luiz Felipe also remains sidelined with a hamstring issue, leaving the defence short on depth.

Real Madrid will be without Aurélien Tchouaméni, who continues to recover from a muscle injury and targets a return in early December. Antonio Rüdiger and David Alaba remain out until mid-November, further weakening the defensive core. Dani Carvajal also stays sidelined with a knee issue until early January, limiting options in the backline.

Head-To-Head Stats:

• Total matches: 46
• Rayo Vallecano won: 7
• Real Madrid won: 33
• Draws: 6

Predicted Starting Lineups:

Rayo Vallecano Predicted Starting Lineup (4-3-3):

A. Batalla (GK); I. Balliu, P. Ciss, F. Lejeune, A. Espino; Ó. Trejo, Ó. Valentín, Gerard Gumbau; J. de Frutos, S. Camello, A. García

Real Madrid Predicted Starting Lineup (4-4-2):

T. Courtois (GK); T. Alexander-Arnold, É. Militão, D. Huijsen, A. Carreras; A. Güler, E. Camavinga, F. Valverde, V. Júnior; J. Bellingham, K. Mbappé

Match Prediction:

As league leaders and overwhelming favourites, Real Madrid have been in superior form, winning 10 of their 11 league matches this season. Their away form has been strong as well. Despite a recent UEFA Champions League setback, their firepower should be too much for Rayo Vallecano to handle.

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-3 Real Madrid

Telecast Details

India: FanCode

UK: Premier Sports

USA: ESPN+

Nigeria: SuperSport

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