Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Monte Carlo Masters 2025

Musetti knocked out two-time defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas.

World No. 13 Lorenzo Musetti overcame two-time Monte Carlo winner Stefanos Tsitsipas to advance to his first semi-final of the 2025 calendar year. The Italian didn’t have the best of starts to the new season but has kicked off the clay season in style.

The 13th seed encountered a challenging draw including the likes of Jiri Lehecka, Matteo Berrettini, and Stefanos Tsitsipas, but powered his way through to become the first player born in 2002 to reach the semi-finals of an ATP Masters 1000 event

For a spot in the final, Musetti will take on Alex de Minaur, who destroyed Grigor Dimitrov in his quarter-final round, winning 6-0 6-0 inside 45 minutes. The Australian dominated the Bulgarian, handing the 33-year-old his worst-ever defeat.

Match Details

• Tournament: Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Semi-final
• Date: April 12
• Venue: Monte-Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France
• Surface: Clay

Also Read: Monte Carlo Masters 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Preview

Tomas Machac, Daniil Medvedev, and Dimitrov are some of de Minaur’s victims, and the Australian looks hungry for a title. Though he has been around for a while, the World No. 10 has not set the stage on fire and would be desperate to win his maiden ATP 1000 Masters event.

Musetti will be full of confidence after defeating the competition’s most successful player in the last two editions. With two top-15 seeds peeking at the right time, tennis fans are guaranteed an incredible showdown of breathtaking tennis.

The Monte Carlo 2025 semi-finals will mark their third exchange and first ever on clay, with the head-to-head currently tied at 1-1. Their most recent meeting occurred in 2024 at the Queen’s Club, where the Italian emerged victorious in three sets.

Form

• Alex de Minaur: W-W-W-L-W
• Lorenzo Musetti: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 2
• Alex de Minaur: 1
• Lorenzo Musetti: 1

Also Read: Monte Carlo Masters 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Stats

Alex de Minaur

• Minaur has a 20-6 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Minaur has a 5-3 win-loss record in Monte-Carlo.
• Minaur owns a 48% win record on clay.

Lorenzo Musetti

• Musetti has an 11-4 win-loss record in 2025.
• Musetti has an 11-4 win-loss record in Monte-Carlo.
• Musetti owns a 62% win record on clay.  

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Minaur -500, Musetti +450.
• Spread: Minaur -4.5 (-108), Musetti +4.5 (+118). 
• Total games: Over 21.5 (-110), Under 21.5 (-110).

Match Prediction

A tightly contested battle awaits between the rampaging de Minaur and the under-the-radar Musetti. Both players are full of confidence after registering impressive wins, making it difficult to pick a clear favourite.

With similar success rates on serve, the outcome could hinge on who manages the physical and mental workload better. While de Minaur has made deep runs in multiple tournaments this season, Musetti is appearing in his first semi-final of the year, raising questions about the Italian’s ability to endure another high-intensity clash.

Result: Alex de Minaur will win in three sets

Where and how to watch the live telecast and streaming of the semi-final match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti at the Monte Carlo Masters 2025?

The semi-final match between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti will be live telecast and streamed on Sony Network in India. Sky UK is the official broadcaster in the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will stream the face-off live within the United States. 

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram