Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Canadian Open 2025

Alexei Popyrin is the favourite to win the encounter.

Alexander Zverev advanced to the Canadian Open quarterfinals after Francisco Cerundolo was forced to retire due to an abdominal injury while trailing 6-4, 1-0. The Argentine failed to recover from the injury, which had visibly troubled him in his third-round encounter against Tomás Martín Etcheverry.

The German will be happy to have spent less time on court, keeping him fresh for his quarter-final clash. This will be Zverev’s first last-eight appearance since 2019.

Match details

• Tournament: Canadian Open 2025
• Round: Quarter-Final
• Date: August 5
• Venue: Sobeys Stadium, Toronto, Canada
• Surface: Hard

Preview

Both players had contrasting ways to qualify for the QF, and unlike Zverev, Alexei Popyrin was made to toil hard. After dropping the opening set to Holger Rune, the Australian fought back to win 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 and keep his title campaign alive in Toronto.

After missing 11 break point opportunities in a tense first set, Popyrin dramatically shifted momentum with aggressive forehand play and near-flawless baseline consistency, dropping just two unforced errors in the second set.

Popyrin’s ability to maintain composure and dictate rallies propelled him to a ninth consecutive match win at the Canadian Masters, showcasing his strong understanding of the conditions on offer in Canada.

This rivalry has been heavily one-sided, with the 25-year-old Australian yet to register a victory over Zverev. They last met at the Paris Olympics, but their other two matches took place much earlier in 2018 and 2019. Interestingly, the World No. 3 is yet to drop a set against the reigning champion.

Form

• Alexander Zverev: W-W-W-L-L
• Alexei Popyrin: W-W-W-L-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 3
• Alexander Zverev: 3
• Alexei Popyrin: 0

Stats

Alexander Zverev

• Zverev has a 38-14 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Zverev has a 14-4 win-loss record on hard courts this season
• Zverev has won 67% of his career matches on hard courts

Alexei Popyrin

• Popyrin has a 15-17 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Popyrin has a 5-7 win-loss record on hard courts this season
• Popyrin has won 57% of her career matches on hard courts

Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Zverev -1200, Popyrin +800
• Spread: Zverev -4.5 (-130), Popyrin +4.5 (+108)
• Total Games: Over 20.5 (-116), Under 20.5 (-110)
• 1st Set Moneyline: Zverev -550, Popyrin +400
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+125), Under 10.5 (-300)

Match prediction

Popyrin has found a different gear on the hard courts of Canada, as he continues to perform well and stun higher-ranked players. Now taking on the top seed, the Australian will have to do what he has never done before — defeat Zverev. He is yet to claim a set against the German.

However, he doesn’t need to look far away; Zverev himself managed to buck the trend against Cerundolo in R16, having previously trailed 3-0 in head-to-head. While Zverev will be fresher as opposed to his rival, Popyrin has proved with his latest victory over Rune that he is prepared to take on the challenge.

Two of the tallest players on the ATP Tour are set to clash, promising a power-packed showdown. With their booming serves and aggressive baseline play, fans can expect a fierce display of ball striking and high-intensity tennis from both ends of the court.

Result: Popyrin will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live telecast and streaming of Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin, quarter-final match at the Canadian Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the Canadian Open 2025 quarter-final clash between Alexander Zverev and Alexei Popyrin on Sony Network in India. Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster in the United States.

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