Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: French Open 2025

Zheng defeated Sabalenka in Italy a few weeks ago.
Aryna Sabalenka is back in Paris, and this time with a singular goal and that is to crack the code of clay at Roland Garros finally. The world No. #1 has come close before, especially in 2023, reaching the semi-finals, but the trophy has always eluded her. This year, she returns to Court Philippe-Chatrier with experience, added fire, and the noticeable hunger to win.
But she will face a challenge—her quarter-final opponent, Qinwen Zheng, is also coming back to the court where she won Olympic gold last summer.
Suddenly, you have two of the most formidable ball-strikers on tour facing off against each other in the high-stakes quarterfinal clash.
Match details
- Tournament: French Open 2025
- Round: Quarter-final
- Date: June 3
- Venue: Roland Garros, Paris, France
- Surface: Clay
Preview
Aryna Sabalenka has really gone about her business at Roland Garros; the Belarusian hasn’t even broken a sweat during her flight to the quarter-finals, and she’s playing as you’d expect from world No. #1. Sabalenka beat Amanda Anisimova, 7-5, 6-3, but it was anything but easy, and it required eight match points and a tactical shift to get across the finish line.
What has shone through is not just her trademark power but the extra layers in her game, which had hallmarks such as changing pace, taking angles, and biding her time.
It’s a smarter Sabalenka, one that’s learning how to win on clay, not just hit through it.
Zheng arrives with momentum of her own. Her quarter-final ticket came after a tough and challenging three-set win over Liudmila Samsonova, one that needed every bit of her focus, fight, and fitness. In the final set, her serve came to life, and it was great to see how she was able to reset under pressure.
She is a player who is quietly building a fortress on the Paris clay with each consecutive victory—10 in total in this tournament since the beginning of the Olympics last summer.
Form
- Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-W-L
- Qinwen Zheng: W-W-W-W-L
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 7
- Sabalenka: 6
- Zheng: 1
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
- Sabalenka has a 38-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season
- Sabalenka has a 15-2 win-loss record on clay this season
- Sabalenka has not dropped a set in the 2025 Roland Garros
Qinwen Zheng
- Zheng has a 17-08 win-loss record in the 2025 season
- Zheng has a 10-3 win-loss record in Paris
- Zheng has dropped only one set in the 2025 Roland Garros
Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Sabalenka -270, Zheng +245
- Spread: Sabalenka -1.5 (+101), Zheng +1.5 (-112)
- Total sets: Over 2.5 (+160), Under 2.5 (-180)
Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka will get her shot at payback against Olympic champion Zheng Qinwen, the same woman who embarrassed her in Rome just weeks ago. Sabalenka isn’t the same player who walked into that Italian nightmare, and her demolition of Amanda Anisimova proved it.
Zheng’s Rome victory came from perfect court positioning and neutralizing Sabalenka’s power. But Sabalenka now deploys more drop shots at a higher frequency than pre-Rome, which could be a difference maker.
Expect Zheng to take one set, but Sabalenka’s new, rejuvenated game could ultimately overpower the Chinese player in a three-setter.
Result: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.
Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng, quarter-final match at French Open 2025?
Aryna Sabalenka will face Qinwen Zheng in the French Open quarterfinals. The match will be broadcast on the Sony Network in India. Viewers in the United Kingdom can watch it on Eurosport, while audiences in the United States can stream the action on TNT, Max, or TruTV.
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Ajay Gandhar has been part of Khel Now since 2023 and has expertise across a wide range of Olympic sports. While his coverage spans the Olympic spectrum, he is passionate about Badminton, Tennis, Football, and Track and Field. Beyond his primary focus areas, Ajay is also an avid kabaddi enthusiast and closely follows the sport.
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