Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2025

Andreeva faces Sabalenka for the second time this season.

Teen sensation Mirra Andreeva is playing the Australian Open 2025 as a seeded player. She was unseeded last year during her quarter-final run in Melbourne. She lost to World No. #11 Barbora Krejcikova after squandering a one-set to nil lead.

Andreeva is now in her second straight round of 16 appearance, where she will face defending champion Aryna Sabalenka for a spot in the last eight. The Russian teenager let her third-round opponent, Magdalena Frech, back into the match when she lost the second set 1-6. Andreeva managed to hold her nerve for a 6-2, 1-6, 6-2 to progress.

Sabalenka is in excellent form and is yet to drop a set in her first three matches. The Belarusian was pushed into a first-set tie-break by Clara Tauson but quelled the Dane’s charge to come out on top. Sabalenka defeated Tauson 7-6(5), 6-4, in 2 hours and six minutes. It was the longest match for the World No. #1 at this stage of the event.

Sabalenka is in Melbourne after winning the Brisbane International for the second time in three years. She did not drop a set in Brisbane until her final against Polina Kudermetova. It was the second Russian she defeated on the way to the trophy after Mirra Andreeva in the last four.

Match details

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Fourth round

Date: January 19

Venue: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne

Surface: Hard Court

Preview

Sabalenka has shown no signs of slowing down after taking over as World No. #1 from Iga Swiatek towards the end of the 2024 season. By defeating Tauson in the third round, Sabalenka has become the first player to claim 17 straight women’s Singles match wins on hard court at Grand Slam events.

Mirra Andreeva finds herself in a second straight fourth-round appearance a week after reaching her career-high ranking of No. #15 on the WTA tour. The 17-year-old is one step away from her first quarter-final appearance in Melbourne. Standing in her way is Sabalenka, who leads 3-1 in their head-to-head, most recently in Brisbane. 

Sabalenka was at her confident best against Tauson, firing off 39 winners while keeping her unforced errors at 25. That is something Andreeva was unable to do, with 35 winners for 45 unforced errors. 

Form

Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-W-W

Mirra Andreeva: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

Matches: 4

Aryna Sabalenka: 3

Mirra Andreeva: 1

Andreeva defeated Sabalenka in Roland Garros last season to post her first win over the World No.1.

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka has an 8-0 win/loss record in the 2025 season. 
• Sabalenka is 22-5 at the Australian Open.
• Sabalenka has won 73% of matches played on hard courts.

Mirra Andreeva

• Andreeva has a 7-1 win/loss record in the 2025 season.
• Andreeva is 6-1 at the Australian Open.
• Andreeva has won 66% of matches played on hard courts.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -400, Andreeva +340
• Spread:  Sabalenka -4.5 (-125), Andreeva +4.5 (+116)
• Total sets: Over 20.5 (-105), Under 20.5 (-110)

Match Prediction

It will be an intriguing battle between Sabalenka and Andreeva as the Belarusian crosses paths with a player riding a wave of form of confidence. Sabalenka has everything to play for, and history beckons in the form of a third straight Australian Open title and a chance to emulate Martina Hingis.

Sabalenka ended Andreeva’s Brisbane run with a breezy 6-3, 6-2 run and is all set to do the same in Melbourne. It is hard to imagine anything other than another straightforward win for the World No. #1. 

Result: Sabalenka to take the win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva, fourth-round match at Australian Open 2025?

The Sony Network and their streaming service, SonyLiv, will broadcast the fourth round face-off between Mirra Andreeva vs Aryna Sabalenka in India. 

Fans in the United Kingdom can watch the action unfold on Eurosport and Discovery Plus. The match will be broadcast live on ESPN, ESPN+ and Fubo for those residing in the United States.

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