Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Cincinnati Open 2025

This will be a rematch of the Italian Open final between Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini.
World No. 9 Jasmine Paolini delivered a statement win over Barbora Krejcikova, avenging her 2024 Wimbledon final loss by taking down the Czech 6–1, 6–2 in just over an hour at the Cincinnati Open.
The Italian broke early and never looked back, racing to a dominant 4–0 lead in the second set. However, Krejcikova’s struggles were mainly due to injuries, which later forced her to call a medical timeout due to a left-foot issue.
Paolini displayed tenacity and avoided break-points throughout the match in what turned out to be a one-sided, straight-sets defeat.
Match details
- Tournament: Cincinnati Open 2025
- Round: Quarter-final
- Date: August 16
- Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Centre, Cincinnati, United States
- Surface: Hard Court
ALSO READ: Cincinnati Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, & live streaming details
Preview
Coco Gauff defeated Italy’s Lucia Bronzetti 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Cincinnati Open to advance to her second quarterfinal in Cincinnati. With this win, Gauff surpassed Serena Williams for the most WTA 1000 quarterfinal appearances (19) before age 22—moving into third all-time in that category.
The American has enjoyed an easy draw so far, including a walkover. Her first major test will be against the seventh seed Paolini.
The former Cincinnati winner is looking for consistency, which she has not found since her triumph in Paris. While she comfortably beat Bronzetti, Gauff’s success rate was only 63% and 58% on first and second serves, respectively.
Their last meeting was the Rome final, which saw Paolini clinch the title in a dominating straight-sets victory. They had earlier met in Stuttgart, which Paolini won yet again in straight sets. Their other two encounters took place on hard courts in 2021 and 2023, both of which Gauff won.
Form
- Coco Gauff: W-W-W-L-W
- Jasmine Paolini: W-W-W-L-L
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 4
- Gauff: 2
- Paolini: 2
ALSO READ: Cincinnati Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer
Stats
Coco Gauff:
- Gauff has a 35-11 win-loss record in the 2025 season
- Gauff has a 9-4 win-loss record in Cincinnati
- Gauff has won 71% of her career matches on hard courts
Jasmine Paolini:
- Paolini has a 30-13 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
- Paolini has a 10-5 win-loss record in Cincinnati
- Paolini has won 58% of the matches played on hard courts
Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Coco Gauff -225, Jasmine Paolini +190
- Spread: Coco Gauff -3.5 (-122), Jasmine Paolini +3.5 (-110)
- Total Games: Over 21.5 (-112), Under 21.5 (-118)
- 1st Set Winner: Coco Gauff -190, Jasmine Paolini +163
- 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+110), Under 9.5 (-150)
Match prediction
On hard courts, as their records suggest, Coco Gauff is tipped to be the stronger player. However, both have struggled recently, and with Gauff yet to be tested against quality opponents in this tournament, it has been a smooth ride so far.
On the other hand, Paolini has overcome three tough battles, but will still start as an underdog in this quarter-final clash.
The outcome will likely hinge on serving efficiency and minimizing unforced errors, setting the stage for a potentially fluctuating, momentum-shifting contest.
Result: Coco Gauff will win in three sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and streaming of Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini, quarter-final match at Cincinnati Open 2025?
Indian viewers can watch the 2025 Cincinnati Open quarter-final match between Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini on WTA TV after buying a subscription.
Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster in the United States.
Full worldwide broadcast details here
What is the head-to-head record between Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini?
They have faced each other four times, with the record tied at 2–2. Paolini won their last two meetings on clay, while Gauff claimed both previous encounters on hard courts.
When and where will the Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini quarter-final be played?
The match will take place on August 15, 2025, at the Lindner Family Tennis Centre in Cincinnati, United States, on a hard court.
Where and how to watch the Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolini quarter-final match live?
Indian viewers can watch the match on WTA TV with a subscription. Sky Sports will broadcast it in the UK, and the Tennis Channel will air it in the United States.
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Aniruddh Seshadri Iyer is a passionate sports journalist at Khel Now, specializing in tennis and Olympic sports. An engineer by training, he found his storytelling passion through iconic Grand Slam and Olympic moments. Known for sharp analysis and insightful coverage, he draws inspiration from Novak Djokovic’s resilience. Outside journalism, he enjoys reading, traveling, and playing the guitar.
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