Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Medvedev is a two-time finalist at Indian Wells.

Daniil Medvedev is another top ranked player who has been short of form and hasn’t won a title since 2024. The Russian has dropped out of the top-five of ATP rankings and cannot afford another early exit. Despite being the top seed at several events in which he has faced off in 2025, Medvedev is yet to advance to a final so far.

Indian Wells Open is a competition where the 29-year-old has enjoyed success. He has unfinished business at the Tennis Paradise where he lost twice consecutively in the finals to the same opponent, Carlos Alcaraz.

After a solid first-round win, the Russian dismissed claims about the new courts playing faster, claiming that these are the slowest surfaces he has ever encountered in his career. For a third-round berth, he will take on Alex Michelsen, marking the duo’s maiden duel.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Third-round
• Date: March 10 (Monday)
• Time: 2:30 AM IST
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Also Read: Novak Djokovic equals Rafael Nadal’s record for most ATP Masters 1000 matches, loses against Botic van de Zandschulp

Preview

Already half of the top eight ATP players have been eliminated before the third round. Earlier today, five-time winner Novak Djokovic was stunned by a lucky loser. Medvedev’s opponent, Alex Michelsen, has had a decent start to the season, having advanced to the fourth round of the Australian Open 2025, beating the likes of Stefanos Tsitsipas and Karen Khachanov on the way.

The American will be looking to continue his impressive form against fifth seed Medvedev. The Russian previously featured in Dubai, where he lost the semifinals to Tallon Griekspoor despite playing well. Medvedev kicked off his campaign at the desert in style, with an emphatic win over Yunchaokete Bu.

Having finally discovered some much-needed form, Medvedev, a former US Open champion, will be looking to make a third straight final at the BNP Paribas Open.

Form

Daniil Medvedev: W-L-W-W-L

Alex Michelsen: W-L-W-L-W

Head-to-Head

Matches – 0

Daniil Medvedev – 0

Alex Michelsen – 0

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

• Medvedev has 17-7 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Medvedev has a 9-5 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Medvedev was a finalist at Indian Wells 2024

Alex Michelsen

• Michelsen is 10-6 in 2025 so far
• Michelsen has a 2-2 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Michelsen reached the second round at Indian Wells 2024

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Medvedev -250, Michelsen +190
• Spread: Medvedev -3.5 (-125), Michelsen +3.5 (-105)
• Total games: Over 21.5 (-130), Under 21.5 (-110)

Also Read: Top five players with most titles in men’s singles at Indian Wells Masters

Prediction

Medvedev played a lengthy round one, despite losing just four games during the course of the match. He opined that winners were tough to come by, due to the slowness of the surface. The Russian is the favourite on paper to not just win this contest but also make the top four.

But upsets have been the story of the tournament so far, and Michelsen will back himself to add to the list. While Medvedev is certainly going to be challenged by the American, he is expected to emerge victorious and move to the next round.

Result: Daniil Medvedev will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen, third round match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

The Sony Network will cover the Indian Wells Open third round match between Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen in India, complemented by its streaming service, SonyLiv.

Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament. Tennis Channel offers live streaming of the ATP-1000 event within the United States.

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