Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Medvedev boasts a flawless record against Ruud.

Daniil Medvedev’s poor form and overall modest clay-court record initially ruled out the Russian’s chances of being a pre-tournament title contender. However, with Carlos Alcaraz absent and top seeds like Alexander Zverev, Novak Djokovic and Taylor Fritz already ousted, the Russian now finds himself with a golden opportunity to end his title drought since Rome 2023.

Casper Ruud is one of the best modern-day clay-court players on the ATP Tour, but disappointing showings in Monte Carlo and Barcelona saw him slip out of the top five. A deep run in Madrid could propel the Norwegian back into the top 10, but he faces a major hurdle in Daniil Medvedev, an opponent he has never defeated in the past.

Match details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
• Round: Quarter-final
• Date: May 1
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay Court

Preview

Casper Ruud knocked out World No #4 Taylor Fritz in a dominant straight sets victory, to seal his maiden quarter-final berth in an ATP-1000 Masters event this year. Ruud has showcased glimpses of his potential, with his latest win highlighting why he was a regular feature in the ATP top-five over the past six months.

Medvedev, on the other hand, came back from a set down against Brandon Nakashima to equal his best-ever outing at the Manzanares Park. The Russian will battle against Ruud for the first time since 2021. Medvedev leads the head-to-head record by a massive 3-0 margin, with their lats meeting take place at ATP Finals.

Ruud hasn’t claimed a single set against Medvedev, and he’ll be eager to end this one-sided affair. With all their previous meetings taking place on hard courts or grass, their first-ever clash on clay, at the 2025 Madrid Open quarter-finals, sets the stage for an intriguing duel.

Also Read: Top five oldest men’s singles champions at Madrid Open

Form

• Daniil Medvedev: W-W-W-L-W
• Casper Ruud: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 3
• Daniil Medvedev: 3
• Casper Ruud: 0

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

• Fritz has a 17-8 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Fritz has a 7-5 win-loss record in Madrid
• Fritz has won 65% of matches played on clay courts

Casper Ruud

• Ruud has a 14-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Ruud has a 10-6 win-loss record in Madrid
• Ruud has won 69% of matches played on clay courts

Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Ruud -170, Medvedev +143
• Spread: Ruud -2.5 (-110), Medvedev +2.5 (-110)
• Total games: Over 22.5 (-110), Under 23.5 (-135)

Match Prediction

Neither Medvedev nor Ruud has enjoyed an ideal start to the 2025 season, though the Russian holds a slight edge in total wins. However, on clay, 14th seed Casper Ruud enters as the favourite, given his comfort and pedigree on the surface.

Medvedev’s vulnerabilities on clay were evident in his Monte Carlo defeat to Alex de Minaur, and Ruud’s heavy topspin forehand is likely to trouble the Russian again, forcing him deep behind the baseline and pushing the ball high on both wings, which could disrupt Medvedev’s rhythm and court positioning.

Result: Ruud to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud, quarter-final match at Madrid Open 2025?

The quarter-final round match between Daniil Medvedev and Casper Ruud will be live telecast and streamed on the Sony Network in India. Sky UK will broadcast the event across the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will do the same for tennis fans in the United States.

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