Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: WTA Finals 2025

Rybakina will make her maiden semi-final appearance.

Elena Rybakina was the last to qualify for Riyadh. The Kazakh clinched the final spot with a title run at Ningbo and later reached the semi-finals in Tokyo, guaranteeing an appearance at the WTA Finals for the third time in a row.

In Riyadh, she has scored impressive wins over Iga Swiatek and Amanda Anisimova to become the first to advance to the semi-finals. The Kazakh defeated alternate Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4, 6-4 on Wednesday to reach the semi-finals for the first time.

The 26-year-old finished the group stage undefeated and leads the Serena Williams Group after her 74-minute victory over Alexandrova. Rybakina bageled Swiatek en route to her round-robin victory over the 2023 champion and became the first Kazakh to reach the semi-finals of the WTA Finals.

1 – Elena Rybakina is the first player representing Kazakhstan to reach the semi-finals of the WTA Finals, this is her third appearance in the tournament. History.#WTAFinalsRiyadh | @WTA @WTAFinalsRiyadh pic.twitter.com/jwdguVsnrc

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) November 3, 2025

Rybakina is making her third appearance at the event and will now face 2023 finalist Jessica Pegula for a chance to make the championship round.

Pegula took on Jasmine Paolini in their Stefanie Group round robin match to decide who would progress to the last four. The American scripted a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Paolini, who had already been eliminated from contention in just 63 minutes.

Pegula’s passage to the semi-finals was confirmed after Aryna Sabalenka knocked out defending champion Coco Gauff in straight sets. The 31-year-old Pegula is the event’s oldest semi-finalist since 2017.

Match details

• Tournament: WTA Finals 2025
• Round: Semi-finals
• Date: November 7
• Venue: Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
• Surface: Hard Court

Also Read: Five youngest players to win WTA Finals title

​Preview

Rybakina heads into the semi-final clash against Pegula on a nine-match winning streak. She is also undefeated in round-robin play. Rybakina must overcome the 1-3 deficit against the American, but so far has been in great form at the WTA Finals.

Their last tour-level clash was at the 2023 WTA Finals, with Pegula victorious 7-5, 6-2 in their group stage encounter. Rybakina recently handed Pegula a 6-4, 6-1 defeat at the Billie Jean King Cup team event in September.

The fifth seed will be seeking her second title round appearance at the WTA Finals when she takes on a resurgent Elena Rybakina in the last four. Pegula was a finalist at the Cancun edition in 2023.

2017 – Jessica Pegula is the oldest player to reach the semi-finals at the WTA Finals since Venus Williams in 2017. Experience.#WTAFinalsRiyadh | @WTA @WTAFinalsRiyadh pic.twitter.com/IRBc01e0iX

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) November 6, 2025

Rybakina, the World No. 6, is not the only player making her semi-final debut. Amanda Anisimova is playing her maiden WTA Finals and has made the last four on debut.

Anisimova won titles in Doha and Beijing, accompanied by back-to-back Grand Slam finals at Wimbledon and the US Open in a stellar year.

Anisimova will take on Aryna Sabalenka in the other semi-finals after the Belarusian sent home defending champion Coco Gauff with a straight set loss on Thursday.

Form

• Elena Rybakina: W-W-W-W-W
• Jessica Pegula: W-W-L-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 4
• Elena Rybakina: 1
• Jessica Pegula: 3

Stats

Elena Rybakina

• Rybakina has a 56-19 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Rybakina has a 5-4 win-loss record at the WTA Finals
• Rybakina has won 68% of matches played on hard courts

Jessica Pegula

• Pegula has a 52-20 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Pegula has a 6-7 win-loss record at the WTA Finals
• Pegula has won 68% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: WTA Finals: Full list of title winners

Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Rybakina -184, Pegula +160.
• Spread: Rybakina -3.5 (+100), Pegula +3.5 (-128).
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-122), Under 22.5 (-135).
• 1st Set Winner: Rybakina -138, Pegula +177.
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-105), Under 9.5 (-124)

Match prediction

After enduring a handful of disappointing results in the 2025 season, Rybakina buckled down for a late-season surge to qualify for the WTA Finals. The 26-year-old’s season is hitting the high note just as it is winding down.  

Rybakina brings her arsenal of big serves and powerful strokes to the encounter. Pegula is capable of taming the Kazakh’s power and will test Rybakina with her long, probing rallies.

If the Kazakh carries her from the group stage into the semi-finals, there is little Pegula can do to stop her. Pegula is likely to be the first off the blocks and claim the opening set before Rybakina turns the tide against the American.

Result: Elena Rybakina will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula, semi-final match at WTA Finals 2025?

The semi-final round of the 2025 WTA Finals is available for Indian viewers on WTA TV. Viewers within the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky Sports or via a NOW TV subscription. Residents of the United States can catch the action live on the Tennis Channel.

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