Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Swiatek sidesteps a round of 64 scare against Alexandra Eala.

Iga Świątek tallied back from a set down to stay on course and avoid a third-round loss to Alexandra Eala. The Pole steered clear of her earliest exit on Spanish clay after her 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 win against the Filipina teenager. 

Eaka had stunned Swiatek in the Miami Open quarter-finals last month, handing the World No. 2 a 6-2, 7-5 defeat in their maiden encounter. 

Swiatek will now face 20-year-old Czech Linda Noskova in the third round. Noskova moved past Argentinian qualifier Maria Lourdes Carle 7-5, 6-1 to resume her rivalry from Doha against the Pole. Noskova had defeated Swiatek as a 19-year-old when she was ranked World No. 1 at the 2024 Australian Open. 

Down a break at 3-2 in the second set, Swiatek completed the comeback in 2 hours and 15 minutes. The No. 2 seed evened the score at 4-4 in the second set and won five consecutive games from that point. The out-of-sorts Pole made 57 unforced errors and sent down only 40 winners in the contest.  

Match Details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Third round
• Date: April 26th
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Preview

The contests between Swiatek, the reigning Madrid Open champion, and Noskova tend to be competitive. Three of their five matches have gone the distance, with the World No. 2 having to claw her way back from a set down twice. At their most recent encounter in Doha this year, Swiatek was down a set before she found a way back to win, 6-7(1), 6-4, 6-4.

In what can be termed good news for the five-time Grand Slam champion, a fourth-round clash with Jelena Ostapenko has been averted. Ostapenko came up short against compatriot Anastasija Sevastova to lose in straight sets, 7-6(2), 6-2 in 91 minutes.

A potential fourth-round clash with Ostapenko would have piled the pressure on the defending champion, who is yet to win in six meetings against the Latvian.

To top her half of the draw, Swiatek will face Diana Shnaider, Madison Keys, and Coco Gauff, respectively. The Pole is seeded to meet Aryna Sabalenka in the title round in a rematch of last year’s final.

Form

• Iga Swiatek: W-L-W-L-W
• Linda Noskova: W-L-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 5
• Iga Swiatek: 4 
• Linda Noskova: 1

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: Live streaming, TV channel, where & how to watch?

Stats

Iga Swiatek:

• Swiatek has a 23-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Swiatek has a 14-2 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Swiatek has an 88% win record on clay.  

Linda Noskova: 

• Noskova has a 12-10 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Noskova has a 1-1 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Noskova has a 50% win record on clay.

Iga Swiatek vs Linda Noskova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Swiatek -380, Noskova +330.
• Spread: Swiatek -5.5 (+104), Noskova +5.5 (-134). 
• Total games: Over 19.5 (-121), Under 20.5 (-133).

Match Prediction

Iga Swiatek’s tag as ‘Queen of Clay’ is well-deserved. In 2024, three of her five titles came on clay, and she finished the season with a 26-2 record on the surface. Her 14-2 win-loss tally in Madrid is an indication of her success at the venue. 

The Swiatek-Noskova encounters have gone the distance on three occasions, suggesting a close match on Saturday. Noskova tends to be quick off the blocks and is likely to draw first blood when they square off in the third round as well. However, the Czech will need to sustain the early lead and build the pressure on Swiatek with her powerful groundstrokes.

Also Read: Top five title favourites in women’s singles at Madrid Open 2025

Swiatek will have to play her best game and show her consistency, which she failed to do against Alexandra Eala in the second round. Swiatek’s ability to dominate from the baseline and her special forehand on clay tops will help the No. 2 seed advance.

Result: Swiatek will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live telecast and live streaming of the third-round match between Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova at the Madrid Open 2025?

The third-round match between Iga Swiatek and Linda Noskova at the Madrid Open 2025 will be broadcast on the Tennis Channel for viewers in India and the United States. Meanwhile, Sky Sports will air the tournament in the United Kingdom.

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