Jack Draper vs Casper Ruud final prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Draper, playing in his second Masters final of 2025, faces Ruud, who is contesting his third career Masters final.

Jack Draper and Casper Ruud are set to face each other for the first time in the Madrid Open 2025 final. Both players have been impressive in their campaign so far and have not lost a single set yet. Draper, who won his maiden Masters 1000 title earlier this year in Indian Wells, is set to make a top-five debut in the ATP rankings.

The Brit has been in scintillating form this year and is fast becoming a force on the ATP Tour. On the other hand, Ruud has struggled for form and bowed out of the top-10 rankings after consecutive early exits in Monte Carlo and Barcelona.

The Norwegian has rediscovered his form and climbed back into the ATP top 10. A victory on Sunday could boost Ruud even higher in the rankings and reaffirm his resurgence.

Match Details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
• Round: Final
• Date: May 4
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay Court

Preview

Jack Draper’s path to the final has been nothing short of clinical, navigating a tough draw with remarkable ease. The 23-year-old began his campaign by defeating the in-form Tallon Griekspoor, followed by a solid win over 30th seed Matteo Berrettini.

The Brit then outclassed 11th seed Tommy Paul, delivered a dominant performance including a bagel, against Matteo Arnaldi, and finally sealed his spot in the final with straight sets win over Monte-Carlo finalist Lorenzo Musetti. Impressively, Draper has not dropped a set en route to the title clash.

Like his rival, Ruud has enjoyed a seamless journey so far. The Norwegian’s toughest test came in the fourth round against World No. 4 Taylor Fritz, but the 26-year-old dismantled the American with authority. Next up was Daniil Medvedev, who failed to pose any real threat on Ruud’s favoured clay surface.

In the semi-finals, the in-form Francisco Cerundolo also couldn’t slow Ruud’s momentum, as the Norwegian powered through with clinical precision. Now, with his sights set on a maiden title at Manzanares Park, Ruud’s resurgence in Madrid continues to gain steam.

Form

• Jack Draper: W-W-W-W-W
• Casper Ruud: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Jack Draper: 0
• Casper Ruud: 0

Also Read: Top five oldest men’s singles champions at Madrid Open

Stats

Jack Draper

• Draper has a 19-4 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Draper has a 7-2 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Draper has won 45% of matches played on clay courts.

Casper Ruud

• Ruud has a 16-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Ruud has a 12-6 win-loss record in Madrid
• Ruud has won 69% of matches played on clay courts

Jack Draper vs Casper Ruud: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Draper -205, Ruud +180.
• Spread: Draper -2.5 (-120), Ruud +2.5 (+107).
• Total games: Over 22.5 (-115), Under 22.5 (-107).

Match Prediction

Both finalists have enjoyed dominant campaigns at Madrid 2025, barely breaking a sweat en route to the title clash. It’s only fitting that two in-form stars share the stage on the final night.

Jack Draper has made his mark as a powerful and complete player and has shown remarkable adaptability to a variety of situations. Casper Ruud, a proven force on clay, thrives with his heavy topspin forehand and relentless baseline play.

Draper’s strong defence, explosive lefty forehand, and superb accuracy could threaten Ruud, who has an excellent career record on clay. Fans can expect a gritty, high-quality battle as both chase glory, with Draper potentially claiming his second title of the season and a maiden crown on clay.

Result: Jack Draper will win in three sets. 

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jack Draper vs Casper Ruud, men’s singles final at Madrid Open 2025?

The Madrid Open 2025 final match between Jack Draper and Casper Ruud will be live telecast and streamed on the Sony Network in India. Sky UK will broadcast the event across the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will do the same for tennis fans in the United States.

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