Jannik Sinner's projected path to Wimbledon 2025 final

Jannik Sinner will be eyeing his first title at SW19.

Jannik Sinner continues to rule the ATP rankings chart, despite missing three months of action due to a suspension. The Italian player enters Wimbledon 2025 with the wounds of the Roland Garros 2025 final, where he lost the title from a winnable position.

Sinner will look for revenge at a venue that was dominated by Novak Djokovic and is ruled by Carlos Alcaraz over the past two years. Both are Sinner’s biggest rivals currently, and despite being the top seed, his route to the finals is far from easy. Let’s take a look at his potential route to glory.

Round 1 – Luca Nardi

Sinner opens his campaign against fellow Italian Luca Nardi, a familiar face but one with limited experience at this level. Nardi, ranked No. 94, has shown promise on tour, but Sinner’s superior consistency and grass-court prowess should see him through this opener with little trouble.

Round 2 – Aleksandar Vukic / Chun-Hsin Tseng

In the second round, the Italian will continue with his merry ways against either Aleksandar Vukic or Chun-Hsin Tseng, both of whom are dangerous on fast courts but lack significant achievements at the Grand Slam level. Sinner’s aggressive baseline game and ability to adapt on grass make him a clear favorite to advance, with the emphasis majorly lying in how dominating Sinner can be in the margin of victory.

Round 3 – Denis Shapovalov / Pedro Martínez Portero / Mariano Navone

The third round is expected to be against Denis Shapovalov, a flashy lefty and former Wimbledon semifinalist. The Canadian’s big serve and shotmaking can shine on grass, but his poor run leading into the Championship offers little hope to tennis fans for a potential upset. Pedro Martínez Portero and Mariano Navone are also possible opponents, but both should be easy work for the World No. 1.

Round 4 – Tommy Paul / Grigor Dimitrov

Things could get a bit interesting at this stage, with World No. 13 Tommy Paul, who reached the Wimbledon quarterfinals last year. The American stretched Sinner when they met last at Rome, and even clinched the first set, before Sinner struck back to complete the match in three.

Paul has the tools to succeed on grass, but has yet to win a match on the surface this year. The experienced Grigor Dimitrov is the other possible opponent, who has lost all of their last four duels.

Quarter-final – Lorenzo Musetti / Ben Shelton / Ugo Humbert / Gael Monfils

An all-Italian QF affair could be on the cards. Lorenzo Musetti is one of the most consistent performers on the ATP tour outside the top two ranked players. Musetti, who reached the semi-finals in 2024, will look to convert some of his mid-season consistency into a victory against Sinner.

The hard-hitting Ben Shelton relies on his big serves and strong forehand winners to flourish on grass, but that would not suffice against a player of Sinner’s class. World No. 20 Ugo Humbert and the veteran Frenchman Gael Monfils are the remaining potential contenders for this contest.

Semi-final – Novak Djokovic / Jack Draper

Jannik Sinner could meet Novak Djokovic in a highly anticipated semi-final showdown at SW19, a rematch of their recent French Open semi-final, where Sinner prevailed. While the Serbian last defeated Sinner at the 2023 ATP Finals, the Italian has since dominated their rivalry with a commanding 4–0 record, including their clash at Roland Garros in June.

Although Djokovic has historically had the upper hand against Sinner at Wimbledon, winning their previous meetings at the All England Club in 2022 (quarter-final) and 2023 (semi-final), the momentum has now shifted.

Local hope and World No. 4 Jack Draper cannot be ruled out either, who thrives on grass, and will receive the backing of the crowd. Their H2H is tied 1-1, with the Brit winning the pair’s only grass battle.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz

Jannik Sinner has never reached the final of the Wimbledon Championships, but this year he will be determined to break new ground and avenge his heartbreaking Roland Garros defeat to Carlos Alcaraz. Despite losing to Alexander Bublik in the Halle final, the 23-year-old remains a top contender thanks to his exceptional athleticism and lightning-fast movement on court.

However, standing in his way is Alcaraz, the two-time defending Wimbledon champion and a grass-court specialist who has dominated their head-to-head rivalry so far, leading 8–4 overall.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram