Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: ATP Finals 2025

The reigning champion will kick-off his campaign in Nitto against Felix Auger Aliassime.

Jannik Sinner begins his ATP Finals title defense in Turin with a blockbuster opening match against Felix Auger Aliassime. The Italian enters the tournament in scintillating form, having won the Paris Masters and finishing the season with an impressive 16-1 record since the US Open.

With the home crowd behind him at the Inalpi Arena, Sinner will aim to carry his dominance into the year-end finale.

For Auger Aliassime, the clash marks a milestone return to the ATP Finals, his second career appearance after debuting in 2022.

The Canadian sealed qualification only after Lorenzo Musetti’s loss in Athens, capping off a strong finish to his season. Following his runner-up finish to Sinner in Paris, Auger Aliassime will be eager for redemption in Turin.

Also Read: Top five youngest ATP Finals winners

​Match details

• Tournament: ATP Finals 2025
• Round: Round-Robin
• Date: November 10
• Venue: Nito, Italy
• Surface: Hard​​ Court Indoors

The 8th and final qualifier for the ATP Finals:🇨🇦 Félix Auger-Aliassime.He’ll face 🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner on Monday, not before 8:30 pm in Turin.The Fox begins his title defense at home. 🦊✨ pic.twitter.com/m4SPjXp3Wp

— The Sinner Times (@sinnertimes) November 8, 2025

Preview  

The two last met in the Paris Masters final, where Sinner prevailed 6-4, 7-6(4), extending his head-to-head lead to 3-2. The Italian’s recent winning streak includes titles in Beijing, Vienna, and Paris, with his only defeat since August coming via walkover in Shanghai.

Felix Auger Aliassime, on the other hand, comes into Turin on a resurgence. After a mid-season slump, he turned his form around with three ATP titles in Adelaide, Montpellier, and Brussels, and a deep run to the US Open semi-finals. He also reached the final eight in Shanghai and Basel, before finally finishing second at the Paris Masters.

Before 2025, the Canadian enjoyed a rare 2-0 head-to-head advantage over the Italian. However, Sinner has completely flipped the script this season, winning all three of their encounters, including victories in Cincinnati, the US Open semifinals, and the Paris Masters final.

Form

• Jannik Sinner: W-W-W-W-W
• Felix Auger Aliassime: L-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 5
• Jannik Sinner: 3
• Felix Auger Aliassime: 2

Stats

Jannik Sinner

• Sinner has a 53-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sinner has a 10-2 win-loss record in year-end finals
• Sinner has won 80% of matches played on hard courts

Felix Auger Aliassime

• Auger Aliassime has a 47-22 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Auger Aliassime has a 1-2 win-loss record in year-end finals
• Auger Aliassime has won 63% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: ATP Finals: Full list of title winners

Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sinner -1400, Auger Aliassime +1000
• Spread: Sinner -4.5 (-148), Auger Aliassime +4.5 (+112)
• Total Games: Over 20.5 (-109), Under 20.5 (-118)
• 1st Set Winner: Sinner -600, Auger Aliassime +460
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-118), Under 9.5 (-110)

Match prediction

On indoor hard courts, upsets are never far away. These are among the fastest surfaces on tour, and Auger Aliassime’s height and explosive serve could pose a real challenge even to Sinner. The Canadian’s comfort indoors, combined with his flat, penetrating groundstrokes, may trouble the defending champion early if Sinner starts off slowly.

However, the conditions in Turin coupled with the passionate home support, play perfectly into Sinner’s hands. The 24-year-old thrives under pressure, holding a 10-2 career record at the ATP Finals, including an unbeaten title run in 2024.

To stand a chance, Auger Aliassime must serve at a high percentage and capitalize on Sinner’s second serve — anything less, and the Italian’s precision and composure could quickly take control.

Result: Jannik Sinner to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime, round-robin match at ATP Finals 2025?

This clash will be available for Indian viewers on the Sony Network. Viewers in the UK can tune in to Sky UK, while American audiences can watch the action unfold on Tennis Channel.

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