Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2025

Jannik Sinner is the defending champion of the Australian Open.

Jannik Sinner takes control of the Australian Open 2025 to defend his title. The Italian has rarely been put under pressure, dropping just a solitary set so far in his first three rounds. As the world number one, the 23-year-old has a favourable draw and Sinner is taking full advantage of the same.

On the other hand, Holger Rune has had to work hard to reach the round of 16, enduring grueling four and five-set matches. The Danish player has found his way well in Melbourne but now he faces a tough challenge.

Rune, however, has beaten the Italian in the past and will be looking to take confidence from this as he aims to seal a quarter-final berth for the first time.

Match details

• Tournament: Australian Open 2025
• Stage: Round-four
• Date: January 20
• Venue: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
• Surface: Hard Court (Outdoor)

Preview

Jannik Sinner began his title defense with a comfortable win over Nicholas Jarry in the first round. Tristan Schoolkate, in the second round, claimed the first set with Sinner looking rather ragged. But the Italian soon regained his mojo and cruised past the Australian in a four-set triumph. The top seed then brushed aside Marcos Giron in the third round and will play 13th seed Holger Rune in the Round of 16.

Rune downed Zhang Zhizhen in a nerve-wrecking encounter in the first round. He faced formidable opponents including former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini in the second round. However, the Dane produced his best tennis so far in round three against Miomir Kecmanović, wherein the pendulum swayed both ways constantly with the Danish ultimately prevailing in five sets.

Rune is playing aggressively on the court and often compromises on consistency. The 21-year-old has played against some sensational winners on a few occasions but there have also been many unforced errors. In this spicy fourth-round battle against the two-time Grand Slam winner, Rune’s ability to balance aggression with consistency will be tested.

Also Read: List of records Jannik Sinner can break at Australian Open 2025

Form

Jannik Sinner: W-W-W-W-W

Holger Rune: W-W-W-L-L

Head-to-Head record

Matches: 4

Jannik Sinner: 2

Holger Rune: 2

Sinner and Rune have faced each other four times, with the Italian winning the previous two encounters. They last met at Monte Carlo, which Sinner won in a tight three-set contest.

Stats

Jannik Sinner

• Sinner has a 3-0 win/loss record in the 2025 season. 
• Sinner is 18–4 at the Australian Open.
• Sinner is currently ranked one.
• Sinner won the Australian Open last season.

Holger Rune

• Rune has a 3-1 win/loss record in the 2025 season. 
• Rune is 7–3 at the Australian Open.
• Rune is currently ranked thirteen.
• Rune’s best outing at the Australian Open came in 2023 when he reached the fourth round.

Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sinner -700, Rune +575
• Spread: Sinner -6.5 (1.73), Rune +6.5 (2.05)
• Total sets: Over 1.83 (-32.5), Under 1.91 (+32.5)

Match prediction

Jannik Sinner is the top contender to win the title and is expected to emerge victorious in this clash. However, Holger Rune’s unpredictability is what makes this a must-watch encounter. If the Dane can reduce his unforced errors, Sinner could find it difficult to contain the 13th seed.

During his short career, Rune has failed to make it to the major Grand Slams despite his abundant talent. With many believing that 2025 could be the 20-year-old’s dream year, the Dane needs to be at his best against Sinner and remain consistent to challenge the defending champions.

Result: Jannik Sinner will win in four sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune, fourth-round match at Australian Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the Australian Open 2025 for the fourth round between Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune on the Sony Network and their streaming service, SonyLiv. Viewers in the UK can watch the marquee tournament live on Eurosport and streaming partner Discovery Plus.

ESPN and Tennis Channel will broadcast the tournament in the US along with streaming partners ESPN+ and Fubo.

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