Jasmine Paolini vs Veronika Kudermetova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Cincinnati Open 2025

Paolini came back from a set down to stun second-seeded Coco Gauff.

Having already bettered her previous best performance in Cincinnati, Jasmine Paolini will now play for maiden final appearance in the event when she takes on Veronika Kudermetova in the semi-final on Sunday. The Russian will be aiming to reach her first-ever final in WTA 1000 events.

Paolini produced a gutsy comeback to defeat World No. 2 Coco Gauff 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 in the Cincinnati Open quarter-finals, sealing her third win over the American in 2025.

Battling through an ankle scare and a mental lapse, the Italian regrouped in the decider, winning 12 of the last 15 points to book her fifth semifinal of the season.

Paolini finds herself on the borderline of the WTA race qualification, and reaching the finals here will strengthen her case for a top-eight finish.

After a disappointing past few events since winning Rome, Paolini has enjoyed an impressive campaign in Cincinnati with straight-set victories over Maria Sakkari, Ashlyn Krueger, and Barbora Krejcikova.

Match details

• Tournament: Cincinnati Open 2025 
• Round: Semi-final
• Date: August 17
• Venue: Lindner Family Tennis Centre, Cincinnati, United States
• Surface: Hard Court

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Preview

Veronika Kudermetova stormed into the Cincinnati Open semi-finals with a commanding 6-1, 6-2 win over Varvara Gracheva, ending the Frenchwoman’s maiden WTA 1000 quarter–final run.

The Russian, a former world No. 9, dominated with speed and power, breaking five times without facing a single break point. This will be Kudermetova’s third Masters 1000 semifinal after Madrid and Rome in 2023.

Entering the event ranked 42nd, she earned her spot in the last four with splendid wins over Magda Linette, Clara Tauson, Belinda Bencic, and Suzan Lamens, thereby securing a seeding for the all-important US Open 2025 as well.

Kudermetova is on a three-match winning streak against Paolini; their last meeting happened in Cincinnati in 2021. On hard courts, though, the Italian is down 0-3 to the Russian on head-to-head.

Form

• Jasmine Paolini: W-W-W-W-L
• Veronika Kudermetova: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 4
• Jasmine Paolini: 1
• Veronika Kudermetova: 3

ANCORA UN PASSO, JASMINE 💪Dopo aver eliminato due campionesse Slam come Gauff e Krejcikova, Paolini non intende fermarsi adesso! 🔥👉 Stasera a Cincinnati, l’azzurra va a caccia della sua terza finale in un WTA 1000!L’avversaria da battere in semi è Veronika Kudermetova!… pic.twitter.com/m9tP1HVaN9

— ItaliaTeam (@ItaliaTeam_it) August 17, 2025

Stats

Jasmine Paolini

• Paolini has a 31-13 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Paolini has an 11-5 win-loss record in Cincinnati
• Paolini has won 58% of the matches played on hard courts

Veronika Kudermetova

• Kudermetova has a 33-19 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Kudermetova has an 11-5 win-loss record in Cincinnati
• Kudermetova has won 59% of her career matches on hard courts

Also Read: Cincinnati Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Jasmine Paolini vs Veronika Kudermetova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Paolini -163, Kudermetova +140
• Spread: Paolini -2.5 (-120), Kudermetova +2.5 (-110)
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-122), Under 21.5 (-110)
• 1st Set Winner: Paolini -150, Kudermetova +120
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+110), Under 9.5 (-150)

Match prediction

Given Paolini’s resilience against Gauff and her strong run in Cincinnati so far, she enters the semi-final with momentum. On the other hand, Kudermetova’s hard-court head-to-head advantage cannot be overlooked. The Italian will rely on her serving, but her good return game, coupled with impressive footwork, gives her the edge.

Expect a tight battle, but Paolini’s improved consistency, fighting spirit, and experience in big-match encounters give her the edge to advance through to a maiden Cincinnati title clash.

Result: Jasmine Paolini to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jasmine Paolini vs Veronika Kudermetova, semi-final match at Cincinnati Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the 2025 Cincinnati Open semi-final match between Jasmine Paolini and Veronika Kudermetova on WTA TV after buying a subscription.

Sky Sports will broadcast the contest live in the United Kingdom. The Tennis Channel is the official broadcaster in the United States.

Full worldwide broadcast details here.

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