Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Madison Keys survived an upset in the third round.

Australian Open champion Madison Keys continued her sensational winning streak at the Indian Wells Open 2025, after a hard-fought win over Elise Mertens to book her spot in the round of 16. The American failed to grab chances in the second set which she eventually lost in a tiebreak, and accepted that she was frustrated with her inconsistency.

Keys struggled with her serving, a skill that was instrumental in her triumphs over Rybakina, Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka during her phenomenal run at the Melbourne Park. While the World No. #5 looks to secure a seat in the quarterfinals for the first time since 2022.

Match details

• Tournament: Indian Wells Open 2025
• Stage: Fourth round
• Date: March 13 (Thursday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Emma Navarro is the only top-10 WTA player to miss out from the fourth round of the BNP Paribas Open, thanks to Donna Vekic. The Croatian was simply unstoppable in her third round, finding the perfect blend of aggression and defense.

Vekic was able to keep her composure under pressure and sailed through the second set to mark her maiden appearance in the fourth round at the desert, despite this being her tenth showdown in California. Both players have had negative records at the Tennis Paradise prior to this edition, but have put on an improved performance this season.

Keys is in red-hot form, while Vekic entered the tournament on the back of multiple early exits. However, the Croatian’s undeniable talent could pose a serious threat to Keys’ impressive winning streak.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Form

• Madison Keys: W-W-W-W-W
• Donna Vekic: W-W-L-L-L

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 3
• Keys– 2
• Vekic – 1

Stats

Madison Keys

• Keys has a 16-1 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Keys has a 13-13 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Vekic reached the third round at Indian Wells 2024

Donna Vekic

• Vekic is 8-7 in 2025 so far
• Vekic has a 7-9 win-loss record at Indian Wells
• Vekic reached the second round at Indian Wells 2024

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Keys -295, Vekic +220
• Spread: Keys -1.5 (-115), Vekic +1.5 (-125)
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-110), Under 21.5 (-135)

Prediction

This will be the pair’s first meet-up since 2019. Both are hard-hitters, relying on their serving games and Keys has struggled in that department during her previous round. She wasn’t as consistent as she was in Australia, but produced moments of stunning tennis which was enough to see her through to the next round.

However against a ruthless Vekic, the American cannot afford to be at her 50%. The Croatian might enter this battle as the underdog but is sure to push the Australian Open winner, and could potentially script a remarkable upset.

Result: Donna Vekic will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Madison Keys vs Donna Vekic, fourth-round match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

Fans in India can catch the third-round match between Madison Keys and Donna Vekic on the WTA TV and Tennis Channel. Viewers in the United Kingdom can tune in to Sky UK for live coverage of the Indian Wells tournament while in the USA, Tennis Channel holds the broadcast rights.

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