Madrid Open 2024: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev preview, head-to-head, prediction, live streaming details

Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev will play against each other for the first time on clay.

ATP World No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz secured a spot in the quarterfinals of the Madrid Open 2024 after he took down Germany’s Jan-Lennard Struff in a nail-biting thriller that lasted two hours and 50 minutes. Meanwhile, Andrey Rublev denied Dutch tennis star Tallon Griekspoor a quarterfinal spot by defeating him 6-2, 6-4.

Now, the two tennis stars are lined up against each other in a last-eight fixture in the Spanish capital. Carlos Alcaraz is a two-time defending champion at La Caja Majica, while Rublev has equaled his best performance at the ATP 1000 event with his win over Griekspoor.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Match Details

Date: May 1, Wednesday

Time: 7:30 PM IST (Tentative)

Venue: La Caja Majica, Madrid

Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Preview

Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion, has rediscovered his form after some fitness issues, winning 16 of his last 20 matches including the BNP Paribas Open title. The 20-year-old Spaniard defeated Shevchenko, Seyboth Wild and Struff to make the last eight in Madrid.

Andrey Rublev has been solid if unspectacular in 2024, claiming the Hong Kong Open among his 16 wins from 24 matches. However, the Russian arrived in Madrid on a four-match losing streak before beating Davidovich Fokina and Tallon Griekspoor.

Head-to-Head Record

Matches: 1

Carlos Alcaraz: 1

Andrey Rublev: 0

The two tennis stars have faced each other once on the ATP Tour. Their only meeting took place at the ATP finals last year and the match was won by the two-time Grand Slam champion, Alcaraz.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev, Madrid Open 2024, quarterfinal match in India?

The match between Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev at the 2024 Madrid Open will be broadcast live on the Sony Sports Network. Consequently, fans can also enjoy the live telecast of the match on Sony Sports Ten 5 SD/HD channels. Sony Liv will live stream the match. Enthusiasts can also stream on Tennis TV, but a subscription will be necessary to get access to live action.

Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz holds a significant edge over Andrey Rublev in the tie. Alcaraz’s recent form and overall performance over the past year have been exceptional, with an impressive 81.08% win percentage compared to Rublev’s 67.11%.

While Rublev’s ability to save break-points (72.5%) is noteworthy, Alcaraz’s superior return game statistics, both on first and second serves, suggest that he could potentially neutralize this advantage. Alcaraz’s higher second serve points won percentage (58.46% vs. 57.48%) and his ability to win 58.02% of the opponent’s second serve points, compared to Rublev’s 52.09%, indicate a potential advantage in the return game.

However, it’s worth noting that Alcaraz’s recent struggles in the deciding set against Jan-Lennard Struff and the possibility of an arm issue could be cause for concern. If Alcaraz continues to avoid fully going after his forehand, it could open up an opportunity for Rublev to capitalize on the temporary vulnerability.

Nonetheless, Alcaraz’s overall dominance on clay (89% win rate) and his superior performance at the Masters Series level (80.65% win rate) make him the favorite in this match-up.

Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in three sets.

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