Preview: Elena Rybakina vs Naomi Osaka prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head: US Open 2026
Elena Rybakina is two wins away from clinching the World No. 1 ranking
Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan ensured there would be no repeat of what happened in Paris earlier this year, avenging her French Open defeat against Ukraine’s Yuliia Starodubtseva in straight sets. The Kazakh entered the ongoing US Open on the back of a string of poor results and injury concerns.
She did regain her best form in Toronto by reaching the final, but an injury in Cincinnati cast doubts over her fitness and participation in New York. In her opening three encounters in Flushing Meadows, the two-time Grand Slam champion has looked effortless and in complete control of her serve and groundstrokes.
Possibly the best match of the competition awaits as Rybakina will take on four-time Grand Slam champion Naomi Osaka of Japan, who arrives after prevailing in a tense three-setter against Belgium’s Elise Mertens.
Match Details
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- Tournament: US Open 2026
- Round: Fourth Round
- Date: September 7
- Venue: New York, United States of America
- Surface: Hard
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Preview
Since the French Open, Osaka has reached at least the quarterfinals in every tournament she has played. The Japanese is slowly but steadily re-establishing herself as one of the biggest contenders for the title, and she faces a stern challenge in this pre-quarterfinal encounter.
Osaka’s life in New York so far has not been as comfortable as she would have liked. She opened with a consecutive set-tiebreak win over Anastasia Zakharova of Russia. She then prevailed in three sets against the Czech Republic’s Katerina Siniakova, a match that should have ended in two, as she lost the second set despite leading by 5-2.
Mertens, too, forced a decider against Osaka, and while her first serve saved the day, she won just 35% of her second-serve points, which is a huge concern for the former US Open champion heading into this fourth-round clash.
Rybakina and Osaka met at the Canadian Open recently, their only meeting on the WTA tour. Rybakina emerged victorious in a thrilling three-setter, and one can expect this contest to be even more intriguing.
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Form
- Elena Rybakina: W-W-W-L-W
- Naomi Osaka: W-W-W-L-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 1
- Elena Rybakina: 1
- Naomi Osaka: 0
Stats
Elena Rybakina
- Rybakina has a 45-13 win-loss record in the 2026 season.
- Rybakina has an 8-6 win-loss record at the US Open.
- Rybakina has won 70% of matches played on hard courts.
Naomi Osaka
- Osaka has a 28-11 win-loss record in the 2026 season.
- Osaka has a 28-7 win-loss record at the US Open.
- Osaka has won 65% of matches played on hard courts.
Elena Rybakina vs Naomi Osaka: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Rybakina: -123, Osaka +102.
- Spread: Rybakina -1.5 (-110), Osaka +1.5 (-110).
- Total Sets: Over 2.5 (+125), Under 2.5 (-165).
- First Set Winner: Rybakina -125, Osaka +105.
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Match Prediction
Rybakina and Osaka have contrasting campaigns so far. The Kazakh has spent far less time on court, which could be a huge advantage as the Japanese arrives after playing a couple of consecutive three-set matches. Osaka also appeared to struggle with a left Achilles injury during the third round and even took a medical timeout.
The Japanese was unable to control her emotions under pressure, and while she managed to escape the scare against Mertens and Siniakova, World No. 2 Rybakina presents a completely different challenge. The Kazakh is one of the hardest hitters of the game and is nicknamed the ‘Ace Queen’ for her remarkable serving precision, particularly under pressure.
With an in-form Rybakina taking on a partly injured Osaka, this battle of Grand Slam champions might end in favour of the reigning Australian Open champion.
Result: Rybakina to win in straight sets.
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Where and how to watch the live telecast and streaming of Elena Rybakina vs Naomi Osaka fourth-round match at US Open 2026?
The fourth-round match between Elena Rybakina and Naomi Osaka will stream live for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar. In the UK, fans can watch the match live on Sky Sports Tennis and Sky Sports+, or stream it through a NOW Sports Pass.
In the USA, viewers can follow the action on ESPN and ESPN+, while live TV streaming services carrying ESPN, including Fubo, Hulu + Live TV, Sling TV (Orange Plan), and YouTube TV, also provide access.
What is Elena Rybakina’s seed for US Open 2026?
Elena Rybakina is seeded second for the US Open 2026.
What is Naomi Osaka’s current WTA Singles ranking?
Naomi Osaka is currently ranked 13th in the WTA Singles Rankings.
Where to watch Elena Rybakina vs Naomi Osaka US Open 2026 clash in India?
The fourth-round match between Elena Rybakina and Naomi Osaka will be streamed live for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar, in addition to being aired on Star Sports.
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