Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Monte Carlo Masters 2025

Tsitsipas takes on Musetti for a spot in the last four.

Stefanos Tsitsipas edged past Nuno Borges, 6-1, 6-1, to win his 50th clay-court win at a Masters 1000 event. Following the 67-minute high-quality display of tennis, the Greek finds himself on the verge of a fourth semi-final appearance at the venue. The second straight win over Borges moves Tsitsipas to 2-0 in their head-to-head.

The sixth-seed converted six breakpoints and struck six winners en route to his third-round win over the 43rd-ranked Borges. It was the Portuguese player’s maiden appearance at the ATP 1000 event.

The 26-year-old Stefanos Tsitsipas’ quest for a fourth Monte-Carlo title will continue against Italian Lorenzo Musetti later on Friday. 

Musetti defeated fellow Italian Matteo Berrettini, 6-3, 6-3, in a match lasting one hour and 34 minutes. The No. 13 seed now moves to 2-1 over Berettini. Unseeded Berettini made 44 unforced errors, four times more than Musetti’s 11.

Berrttini had felled top-seed Alexander Zverev in the previous round but could not find a way past his compatriot in his attempt to make the last eight in Monte-Carlo for the first time.   

Match Details

• Tournament: Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Quarter-final
• Date: April 11
• Venue: Monte-Carlo Country Club, Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, France
• Surface: Clay

Also Read: Monte Carlo Masters 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Preview

The stakes are high for Tsitsipas at the 2025 edition of the Monte Carlo Masters, where he carries the tag of defending champion. The Greek World No. 8 will have to make a deep run at the 2025 edition of the Monte-Carlo Open to keep his place in the ATP Top 10.

Tsitsipas faces Musetti on Friday in what will be their sixth tour-level meeting. Tsitsipas has won all five previous meetings against the Italian player, with four of those victories coming on clay. The most recent encounter was in Rome in 2023, with the Greek player winning in straight sets 7-5, 7-5.

Lorenzo Musetti pushed Tsitispas to the brink at Roland Garros in 2022, where he took the first two sets before his rival fought back for an improbable 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-2 victory. 

Both players arrived in the last eight courtesy of straight-set wins over their respective third-round rivals. Musetti over Matteo Berrettini and Tsitispas over Nuno Borges. 

Musetti spent five hours on the court across his opening two rounds against Chinese qualifier Yunchaokete Bu and Jiri Lehecka of Czechia. Likewise, Tsitsipas fought back from a set down against Jordan Thompson for a three-set win after receiving a first-round bye.

Form

• Stefanos Tsitsipas: W-W-L-W-L
• Lorenzo Musetti: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 5
• Stefanos Tsitsipas: 5
• Lorenzo Musetti: 0

Also Read: Monte Carlo Masters 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Stats

Stefanos Tsitsipas: 

• Tsitsipas has a 13-6 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Tsitsipas has a 22-3 win-loss record in Monte-Carlo.
• Tsitsipas owns a 76% win record on clay.

Lorenzo Musetti:

• Musetti has a 10-4 win-loss record in 2025.
• Musetti has a 10-4 win-loss record in Monte-Carlo.
• Musetti owns a 62% win record on clay.  

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Tsitsipas -155, Musetti +132.
• Spread: Tsitsipas -2.5 (-104), Musetti +2.5 (-110). 
• Total games: Over 22.5 (-110), Under 22.5 (-110).

Match Prediction

Tsitsipas and Musetti are among the few players who still play with a one-handed backhand. Tsitispas is the only top-ten player who relies on the single-handed variant. Against Musetti, the Athenian will fight to remain there, for a loss will send him tumbling out of the ATP Top 10.

That said, Musetti faces an uphill task in the quarter-final against Tsitsipas. While three of their five matches went to a deciding set, keeping up with Tsitsipas at Monte-Carlo will be hard for Musetti.  

The Greek’s 3-0 record in finals at Monte-Carlo makes Tsitsipas a formidable opponent at the venue. While Musetti is handy on clay courts, and a win against Tsitsipas is overdue, Monte Carlo is a happy hunting ground for the sixth seed from Athens, and very little will be stopping him from making it to 4-0.

Result: Tstisipas will win in three sets

Where and how to watch the live telecast and streaming of the quarter-final match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti at the Monte Carlo Masters 2025?

The quarter-final match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti will be live telecast and streamed on Sony Network in India. Sky UK is the official broadcaster in the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will stream the face-off live within the United States. 

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram