Taylor Fritz vs Jakub Mensik prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Miami Open 2025

Fritz and Mensik to square off in a battle between two first-time Miami Open semi-finalists.

Taylor Fritz has earned himself the much-coveted semi-final spot in Miami for the first time across eight main draw appearances. The No. 1 American player quelled Matteo Berrettini, 7-5, 6-7(7), 7-5, after spending two hours and 44 minutes on court. The fifth consecutive win over Berrettini was not easy and Fritz spent the longest time on the court at the Miami Open 2025. None of his other matches had crossed the 2-hour mark. 

Unlike their 2023 meeting in New York, where Fritz won in straight sets at the 2024 US Open, the American needed seven match points and three gruelling sets to get the better of Matteo Berrettini in the Miami Open quarter-finals. Taylor Fritz squandered two match points on the Italian’s serve at 6-5 in the second set and a further three match points when he was ahead 6-3 in the second set tie-break. 

The No. 3 seed took the last three games in the decider to become the first American semi-finalist since John Isner in 2019. After the last eight nail-biter, Fritz will make his semi-final debut at the event against Czech teen Mensik. 

The 19-year-old Jakub Mensik secured his maiden win against Frenchman Arthur Fils, 7-6(5), 6-1. In his first main draw appearance and semi-final debut in Miami, Mensik will hope for a memorable outing when he takes on Fritz. The No. 1 American player on Tour came out on top in their last meeting at the 2023 US Open. Mensik recently broke into the ATP Top 50 at No. 45 in February and has vastly improved since his last meeting with Fritz. 

Mensik, who will play his first ATP 1000 semi-final at the Hard Rock Stadium, made a strong start to the year with consecutive last four appearances at Brisbane and Auckland.  

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Match Details

• Tournament: Miami Open 2025 Men’s Singles
• Round: Semi-final
• Date: March 29
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, United States
• Surface: Hard

Preview

Taylor Fritz, a champion at the 2022 Indian Wells Open. is two wins away from lifting the trophy at the 2025 Miami Open. Fritz was made to earn his semi-final debut at home in a slugfest against Italy’s Matteo Berrettini before prevailing in a high-quality display of tennis, 7-5, 6-7(7), 7-5.

The American has moved to 14-5 this season after posting wins over Lorenzo Sonego, Denis Shapovalov, and Adam Walton earlier. Looking to prevent Fritz from reaching the title round will be Jakub Mensik. A fourth-round walkover by Tomas Machac has made Mensik’s journey to the last four easier.

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

The 19-year-old Czech player is through to the semi-final round after victories over Roberto Bautista Agut, Indian Wells champion Jack Draper, Roman Safiullin, and Arthur Fils. Mensik has not dropped a set since his opening round against Agut. 

The unseeded Mensik (19 years and 199 days) has the honour of becoming the youngest Czech player to reach the last four at an ATP 1000 event. He surpassed Tomas Berdych (20 years and 44 days), who reached the last four at the Paris Masters in 2005.

Form

• Taylor Fritz: W-W-W-W-L
• Jakub Mensik: W-W-W-W-W 

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 1
• Taylor Fritz: 1
• Jakub Mensik: 0

Also Read: Miami Open: Full list of title winners

Stats

Taylor Fritz:

• Fritz has a 14-5  win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fritz has a 13-8 win-loss record in Miami.
• Fritz has won 61% of matches played on hard courts.

Jakub Mensik:

• Mensik has a 13-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Mensik has a 5-0 win-loss record in Miami.
• Mensik has won 60% of matches played on hard courts.

Taylor Fritz vs Jakub Mensik: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Fritz -245, Mensik +225.
• Spread: Fritz -2.5 (-122), Mensik +2.5 (+106).
• Total games: Over 23.5 (-101), Under 24.5 (-135).

Match Prediction

Jakub Mensik’s semi-final run at the Challenger event in the Dominican Republic before arriving in Miami set the stage for a deep run in South Florida. The Mensik serve was on point against Arthur Fils, with the Czech winning 86% of points on his first serve. Mensik unleashed 13 aces as he raced to a 75-minute victory over the 17th-seeded Fils. 

Also Read: Top five youngest men’s singles champions at Miami Open

His semi-final opponent, Taylor Fritz, will have the backing of the home crowd. How well Fritz can recover from his monumental efforts in the quarter-final against Matteo Berrettini will be a key factor when he takes on Mensik in the last four. 

Fritz will be back on court just a day after he pulled off a three-set win against a stubborn Matteo Berrettini. Mensik will be fresher of the two and is a different player from the 17-year-old whom Fritz defeated at the 2023 US Open, having reached his first tour-level final in Doha last season. 

Result: Mensik will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the semi-final between Taylor Fritz and Jakub Mensik at the Miami Open 2025?

Taylor Fritz and Jakub Mensik’s semi-final match will be live telecast and streamed on Sony Network in India. Sky UK is the official broadcaster in the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel fulfills that role within the United States. 

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