Italy vs Germany Prediction, lineups, betting tips & odds

Die Mannschaft were the better side the last time both sides met.
The Italy national football team will lock horns with the Germany national football team in the UEFA Nations League 2024-25 quarter-final first leg. This is going to be an epic clash between the two sides. The hosts ended their group stage run in second spot in League A Group 2. On the other hand, the Germans topped the Group 3.
The Italians will be at home but are surely going to have a tough time against the visitors. The hosts had a good group stage run as they won four games in six-match weeks. But the Italy national football team fell prey to France in their last Nations League game because of their loose defence. Their attack rate was decent but were only able to score a single goal and in response, they conceded three.
The Germany national football team are coming undefeated from the group stage and will be looking to continue their run here. They were held to a draw in their previous UEFA Nations League encounter against Hungary as they conceded a last-minute equaliser. Although they dropped a couple of points but still managed to top their group.
Kick-off:
- Location: Milan, Italy
- Stadium: San Siro Stadium
- Date: Friday, March 21
- Kick-off Time: 01:15 IST / Thursday, March 20: 19:45 GMT/ 14:45 ET/ 11:45 PT
- Referee: Francois Letexier
- VAR: In use
Form:
Italy: W-D-W-W-L
Germany: D-W-W-W-D
Players to Watch
Mateo Retegui (Italy)
Representing Atalanta in club football, Mateo Retegui is in good form this season. Although he has only been able to score a couple of goals in the Nations League this season, Retegui is going to be a big threat to the opponentâs defence. He is going to play a crucial in the attacking front for the hosts.
Jamal Musiala (Germany)
From controlling the midfield to scoring goals, Jamal Musiala is coming out as one of the promising young midfielders in the game. He is doing well for Bundesliga side Bayern Munich in club football and will be looking to bring the same momentum to the Germany national football team in their crucial game against the Italians.
Match Facts
- This will be the 10th confrontation between Italy and Germany in all competitions.
- Both Germany and Italy have been able to win two matches each against one another.
- Italy are winless against Germany in their last five matches.
Italy vs Germany: Betting Tips and Odds
- Match to end in a draw @23/10 Coral
- Goals over 3.5 @3/1 Betfred
- Mateo Retegui to score @6/1 Skybet
Injury and Team News
All of the current selected squad members for both Germany and Italy are fit to be in action.
Head-to-Head
Total matches: 9
Italy won: 2
Germany won: 2
Draws: 5
Predicted Lineups
Italy predicted lineup (3-5-1-1)
Donnarumma (GK); Di Lorenzo, Gatti, Bastoni; Cambiaso, Frattesi, Ricci, Tonali, Dimarco; Barella, Retegui
Germany predicted lineup (4-2-3-1)
Nubel (GK); Kimmich, Rudiger, Schlotterbeck, Mittelstaedt; Andrich, Goretzka; Sane, Musiala, Adeyemi; Undav
Match Prediction
Both have good players in their squads. The Itlay vs Germany first leg of the UEFA Nations League 2024-25 quarterfinals is likely to end in a draw.
Prediction: Italy 2-2 Germany
Telecast Details
India: Sony Liv, Sony Sports Network
UK: ITVX, Premier Sports
USA: fubo TV, TUDN App
Nigeria: DStv Now
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Dilpreet is a dedicated football writer with a keen eye for World Football. As a proud Real Madrid fan, we believe his work reflects the same ambition and precision. Since joining Khel Now in 2025, he has crafted stories beyond scores, diving into tactics, culture, and emotion. With a strong background in content writing, he blends clarity with creativity, always aiming to bring the beautiful game closer to readers.
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