Alex de Minaur vs Alejandro Davidovich prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Washington Open 2025

De Minaur and Davidovich Fokina to clash in a tour-level final for the first time.

Alex de Minaur got the better of lucky loser Corentin Moutet to advance to the finals of the Washington Open on Saturday. De Minaur defeated the Frenchman 6-4, 6-3 in one hour and 45 minutes and reach his second final at the venue. The Australian was a finalist at the ATP 500 event in 2018. 

The Australian survived the face-off against Moutet despite making 33 unforced errors, 21 of them in the opening set alone. De Minaur won his first meeting against the Frenchman to set up a title round clash with Fokina. De Minaur’s second championship round appearance this season comes with a rise to No. 10 in the ATP Live Rankings. 

Davidovich Fokina defeated Ben Shelton in the second semi-final of the day to complete a hat-trick of wins against American players. The 6-2, 7-5 win over fourth seed Ben Shelton followed victories over Learner Tien and top seed Taylor Fritz.

The Spaniard accepted Shelton’s gift of 35 unforced errors and seven double faults to close out the match in one hour and 20 minutes. Fokina maintained his perfect record against the 22-year-old American to go up 3-0 in their head-to-head and deny the home crowd the prospect of a local champion. 

Fokina becomes just the second Spanish finalist in Washington since Alex Corretja defeated Andre Agassi 25 years ago to take the title in 2000. Another milestone awaiting the Spaniard is a Top 2o debut on Monday. He moves to a career-high No. 19 in the ATP Live Rankings after registering his fifth Top-10 win of the year.

Match details

• Tournament: Washington Open 2025 
• Round: Finals
• Date: July 28
• Venue: William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Centre, Washington, DC
• Surface: Hard Court

Preview

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will play his third final of 2025 after Delray Beach and Acapulco. It could be a case of third time’s the charm when he takes on Alex de Minaur for an opportunity to claim his first ATP title. Alex de Minaur is a win away from bagging his 10th career crown.

The Australian is an impressive 21-6 on hard courts this season and will be vying for his first win of the season. 

A win by either player in the championship round will break their head-to-head deadlock in ATP-level events. It currently stands at 2-2 with De Minaur emerging victorious the last time they met in the semi-finals of the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Canada.

Form

• Alex de Minaur: W-W-W-W-L
• Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 4
• Alex de Minaur: 2
• Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: 2

Stats

Alex de Minaur

• De Minaur has a 35-13 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• De Minaur has an 8-4 win-loss record at Washington.
• De Minaur has won 64% of matches played on hard courts.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• Fokina has a 32-17 win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Fokina has a 5-1 win-loss record at Washington.
• Fokina has won 50% of matches played on hard courts.

Alex de Minaur vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: De Minaur -225, Fokina +180.
• Spread: De Minaur -3.5 (-108), Fokina +3.5 (-120). 
• Total Sets: Over 21.5 (-135), Under 22.5 (-127).
• 1st Set Winner: De Minaur -200, Fokina +150.
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (-127), Under 10.5 (-350)

Match prediction

When De Minaur meets Fokina in Sunday’s final, he will need to steer clear of the mistakes he made in the semi-finals. The Spaniard represents a serious obstacle in De Minaur’s attempt to win his maiden Washington Open title. For Fokina, the stakes are even higher – the 26-year-old is on the verge of a maiden tour-level win.

Fokina is overdue for his first title after making two ATP finals this season. He will look to break the jinx in his third title round against one of the best returners of the game – Alex de Minaur. The Spaniard showed no signs of fatigue after his marathon three-setter against Taylor Fritz to take down Ben Shelton in the semi-finals. 

De Minaur eased past Brandon Nakashima and Corentin Moutet in the previous two rounds to book passage for the Washington Open finals for the second time in his career. 

Fokina will look to shorten the rallies when he takes on De Minaur and not let the Aussie settle into any rhythm. 

Result: Fokina to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Alex de Minaur vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina final match at Washington Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the 2025 Washington Open semi-final between Alex de Minaur and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on Discovery India. Sky UK and Tennis Channel will broadcast the contest live within the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively.

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