Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger Aliassime prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: ATP Qatar Open 2025

This will be the seventh meeting between both players.

Andrey Rublev’s 2025 season finally seems to be on track after a nightmare start. He first took part in Hong Kong where he suffered a first-round exit to a lower ranked opponent. At the Australian Open 2025, he faced a challenging opening round against upcoming tennis prodigy, Joao Fonseca.

The Brazilian dominated the match, winning in straight sets. Rublev will now battle against Felix Auger Aliassime, for a spot in the final of the ATP Qatar Open 2025. The competition has been highly unpredictable, with most of the top seeds not qualifying to the top four.

Novak Djokovic was eliminated in the very first round, top seed Carlos Alcaraz lost to Jiri Lehecka in the quarterfinals and Daniil Medvedev withdrew due to injury. Hence, the outcome of this clash could ultimately determine the winner of the event.

Match details

• Tournament: ATP Qatar Open 2025
• Round: Semi-Final
• Date: February 21
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Khalifa International Tennis and Squash Complex, Doha, Qatar
• Surface: Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Andrey Rublev outlasted Alex de Minaur in an incredible display of tennis during the quarter-final encounter. The Russian fifth seed wasted a 5-2 lead in the last set against the Australian second seed, who forced the tiebreaker with remarkable scrambling.

However, after 2 1/2 hours, Rublev advanced to his fourth semi-final in Doha, where he won the title in 2020. On the other hand, his opponent Felix Auger Aliassime has had an interesting campaign. The Canadian has already bagged two titles in the first two months of the 2025 season.

In Doha, Aliassime downed Quentin Halys in a closely fought three setter. He was next scheduled to face Hamad Medjedovic, who defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas on one leg, and hence had to withdraw from the second round. Fourth seed Daniil Medvedev was a set down against the Canadian, before handing an unexpected walkover.

As a result, the 24-year-old has had one victory and two walkovers, from his three matches in Doha. While he must be fresh and lively on court, lack of game-time and quality opposition could hurt Aliassime, as he vies for a maiden title in Qatar.

Form

Andrey Rublev: W-W-W-L-W

Felix Auger-Aliassime: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-Head

Matches – 6

Andrey Rublev – 5

Felix Auger-Aliassime – 1

Andrey Rublev has dominated this match-up against Felix Auger-Aliassime, leading 5-1 in their head-to-head. The only win for the Canadian came in 2022 in Rotterdam. Rublev’s last triumph against Aliassime was at the 2024 Madrid Open.

Stats

Andrey Rublev

• Rublev leads the head-to-head battle 5-1 against Aliassime.
• Rublev is 7-4 in 2025 so far.
• Rublev has a 64% winning percentage on hard courts.

Felix Auger Aliassime

• Aliassime trails the head-to-head battle 1-5 against Rublev.
• Aliassime is 12-2 in 2025 so far.
• Aliassime has a 62% winning percentage on hard courts.

Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Aliassime +250, Rublev -280
• Spread: Aliassime +2.5 (1.80), Rublev -2.5 (1.91)
• Total sets: Over 23.5 (+1.98), Under 21.5 (-1.91)

Prediction

Andrey Rublev is seeded fifth, and is currently the top contender to win the title. The Russian is the highest seeded player to remain alive in the event and has a great shot at a second Doha title. Moreover, Rublev boasts a one-sided match-up over the Canadian, with a handsome 5-1 lead on head-to-head.

Aliassime has had a strong run in 2025, securing two titles. However, two of his three matches in Doha have been walkovers. In contrast, Rublev is coming off a grueling 150-minute battle, making him better acclimated to the conditions. The Russian’s match sharpness gives him the edge, making him the favorite to win.

Result: Andrey Rublev to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger Aliassime, semi-final match at Qatar Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the Qatar Open 2025 semi-final match between Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger Aliassime on Tennis Channel, as there is no official partner for the live telecast of the tournament.

Viewers in the UK can watch the blockbuster match live on Sky Sports and streaming partner Discovery Plus. ESPN and Tennis Channel will broadcast the action-packed contest in the US along with streaming partners ESPN+ and Fubo.

For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram