Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula final prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Miami Open 2025

A rematch of the US Open final is on the cards.

Aryna Sabalenka will be playing her fourth final of the season but has won only once so far. The Belarusian is by far the most consistent performer on the tour and happily sits at number one in the WTA rankings. However, with a 2-match losing streak in finals, Sabalenka will be desperate to end this finale jinx.

It will be a rematch of the 2023 US Open final, as the top seed faces World No. 4 Jessica Pegula, who has been in sensational form. Two strong hard-court players go head-to-head in the final hard-court event of the year.

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

Match Details

• Tournament: Miami Open 2025 Women’s Singles
• Round: Final
• Date: March 29
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, United States
• Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Preview

Aryna Sabalenka has enjoyed a comfortable ride so far in Miami. With a faster surface than the Indian Wells Open, the 26-year-old has taken advantage of the conditions and is certainly a top contender for the title. Her latest triumph came against Jasmine Paolini, who was crushed in straight sets.

Also Read: Miami Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money and points on offer

Jessica Pegula on the other hand, overcame a hard-fought battle against Emma Raducanu to book her semi-final spot and has enjoyed dominant victories over Marta Kostyuk Bernarda Pera, and Anna Kalinskaya. She took on Filipino sensation Alexandra Eala, who took down Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys. The American eventually won in three sets in a stunning display of tennis.

The Miami Open 2025 final will mark the duo’s ninth exchange, with Sabalenka dominating this rivalry. The American has managed to get the better of the top seed just once in their previous seven meetings, with their latest battle taking place in the US Open final which Sabalenka won in straight sets.

Form

• Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-W-W
• Jessica Pegula: W-W-W-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 8
• Aryna Sabalenka: 6
• Jessica Pegula: 2

Also Read: Miami Open: Full list of title winners

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka has a 22-4  win-loss record in the 2025 season.
• Sabalenka has a 13-6 win-loss record in Miami.
• Sabalenka has won 73% of matches played on hard courts

Jessica Pegula

• Pegula has a 20-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Pegula has a 21-5 win-loss record in Miami
• Pegula has won 70% of matches played on hard courts

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -295, Pegula +250
• Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (-107), Pegula +4.5 (-117)
• Total Games: Over 20.5 (-125), Under 21.5 (-122).

Match Prediction

The last few WTA-1000 finals have seen a few upsets, but Aryna Sabalenka looks slated for her maiden Miami Open title. The 26-year-old will once again try to repeat her brilliant performance against Pegula. The Belarusian will also hope not to repeat the mistakes she made in her last two defeats and is set to bounce back in Florida, marking a perfect end to the hard-court season.

Also Read: Top five youngest men’s singles champions at Miami Open

Result: Sabalenka will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live streaming and TV broadcast of the final between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula at the Miami Open 2025?

Indian tennis fans hoping to watch Aryna Sabalenka take on Jessica Pegula in the final will have to rely on online streaming, as the match won’t be televised in India. Instead, viewers can catch the action live on WTA TV and Tennis TV. Sky UK holds the broadcasting rights in the United Kingdom, while fans in the United States can watch it via the Tennis Channel.

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