Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula semi-final prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Wuhan Open 2025

Aryna Sabalenka holds a four-match winning streak against Pegula.

Jessica Pegula staged another remarkable comeback at the 2025 Wuhan Open, defeating qualifier Katerina Siniakova 2-6, 6-0, 6-3 to book her first semi-final appearance at the event.

Despite dropping the opening set and showing signs of fatigue after more than 15 hours on court in two weeks, the American rebounded with a flawless second set and held firm in the decider to clinch her sixth three-set win in seven matches.

With the victory, Pegula extended her winning streak against qualifiers and lucky losers to 18 matches and advanced to her third straight semi-final of the season, where she will face World No.1 Aryna Sabalenka in a highly anticipated rematch.

Sabalenka extended her remarkable Wuhan Open winning streak to 20 matches with a commanding 6-3, 6-3 victory over Elena Rybakina in the quarter-finals.

The top-ranked Belarusian broke Rybakina’s serve three times in the 85-minute clash, displaying her trademark power and consistency to reach her 11th semifinal of the 2025 season.

The defending champion, who previously lifted the Wuhan trophy in 2018, 2019, and 2024, looked in full control throughout, maintaining her dominance at one of her most successful venues.

✨ @SabalenkaA ✨The fourth player to win their first 20 main draw matches at a tournament since 1990 👏#WuhanOpen pic.twitter.com/LAw15OZsNC

— wta (@WTA) October 10, 2025

Match details

• Tournament: Wuhan Open 2025
• Round: Semi-Final
• Date: October 11
• Venue: Optics valley International Tennis Center, Wuhan, China
• Surface: Hard Court

Preview

Sabalenka’s triumph over Rybakina sets up a blockbuster semi-final meeting against Pegula, marking a rematch of their intense three-set US Open encounter earlier this year. While Pegula came close in New York, she has had her challenges to close out matches against Sabalenka.

The Belarusian has consistently dominated their encounters on hard courts, leveraging her powerful serve and aggressive baseline play to control rallies.

Pegula’s rare wins against the top seed came at the 2020 US Open and 2023 WTA Finals, but Sabalenka has generally dictated the pace, using her heavy groundstrokes and court coverage to prevent Pegula from establishing rhythm. Their only previous exchange in 2025 came at the Miami Open, where Sabalenka cruised to a straight sets win.

Form

• Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-W-W
• Jessica Pegula: W-W-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 10
• Sabalenka: 8
• Pegula: 2

Also Read: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula head-to-head record, last five meetings

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka has a 61-10 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sabalenka has a 20-0 win-loss record in Wuhan
• Sabalenka has won 74% of matches played on hard courts

Jessica Pegula

• Pegula has a 50-20 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Pegula has a 4-2 win-loss record in Wuhan
• Pegula has won 67% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: Wuhan Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -305, Pegula +270
• Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (-110), Pegula +4.5 (-113)
• Total Games: Over 20.5 (-118), Under 20.5 (+100)
• 1st Set Winner: Sabalenka -240, Pegula +200
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+120), Under 9.5 (-148)

Match prediction

World No. 1 Sabalenka enters the Wuhan Open semi-final as the favourite against Pegula, boasting a flawless 20-0 record at the event since her debut in 2018.

Fresh off her US Open triumph and a dominant win over Elena Rybakina, the top seed has been nearly untouchable this season with four titles and a 59-10 record.

Her powerful baseline game and improved serve make her extremely difficult to break once she finds rhythm, and she’ll aim to maintain her dominance at her most successful tournament.

Expect Pegula to push the Belarusian with her consistency and tactical play, but Sabalenka’s Wuhan aura and superior firepower should see her prevail in three sets.

Result: Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula semi-final match at Wuhan Open 2025?

The semi-final match between Sabalenka and Pegula will be available for Indian viewers on the Tennis Channel. Sky UK is the official broadcaster of the event within the United Kingdom, while the Tennis Channel will carry the match live for American viewers.

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