Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Indian Wells Open 2025

Sabalenka has won both of her previous meetings against the Italian.

As the Indian Wells Open 2025 heats up, all eyes are on top seed Aryna Sabalenka as she faces Italy’s Lucia Bronzetti in a thrilling third-round showdown. Sabalenka, known for her explosive power and dominant serve, will aim to reassert her authority after a mixed Middle East swing.

Meanwhile, Bronzetti, fresh off an impressive upset over 30th-seed Magdalena Frech, looks to continue her momentum and pull off a career-defining victory. Can the Italian challenger shock the world, or will Sabalenka’s firepower prove too much to handle?

Match details

• Tournament: BNP Paribas Open 2025
• Stage: Third Round (Round of 32)
• Date: March 10 (Monday)
• Time: TBD
• Venue: Indian Wells Tennis Garden, California
• Surface: Outdoor Hard Court (outdoor)

Preview

Top seed Sabalenka faces Italian challenger Bronzetti in Monday’s third-round action at Indian Wells Open 2025. The winner will advance to face either Kudermetova or Kartal.

Bronzetti enters with momentum after upsetting 30th-seed Magdalena Frech 6-3, 7-5, showcasing effective return skills by converting six break points. Her 2025 highlight came at the Transylvania Open where she reached the finals. Her Australian Open run included a notable victory over former champion Victoria Azarenka.

Sabalenka’s 2025 campaign began impressively with the Brisbane title and a Melbourne Majors final appearance before hitting a rough patch during the Middle East swing with just one win in three matches. At Indian Wells, after a first-round bye, she defeated American McCartney Kessler 7-6(4), 6-3, displaying dominant serving with six aces and 86% first-serve points won.

This third-round matchup represents a significant challenge for Bronzetti against the tournament’s top seed, while Sabalenka aims to regain her early-season form.

Also Read: Indian Wells Open: Full list of winners

Form

• Aryna Sabalenka: W-L-W-L-L
• Lucia Bronzetti: W-W-L-L-W

Head-to-Head

• Matches – 2
• Sabalenka – 2
• Bronzetti – 0

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka leads 2-0 against Bronzetti
• The Belarusian has a 13-3 win-loss record in 2025 so far
• Sabalenka finished runner-up here in 2023

Lucia Bronzetti

• Bronzetti trails 0-2 against Sabalenka
• She has a 13-3 win-loss record so far in 2025
• Bronzetti is yet to beat a World No. #1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -1600, Bronzetti +750
• Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (1.90), Bronzetti +4.5 (1.85)
• Total games: Over 18.5(-110), Under 18.5(-130)

Prediction

The Indian Wells Tennis Garden’s faster surface perfectly suits Sabalenka’s power game as she looks to rebound from recent setbacks. Despite Bronzetti’s confidence following her win over Frech, the Italian faces overwhelming odds against the world’s top-ranked player.

To have any chance, Bronzetti must adopt an aggressive approach, targeting Sabalenka’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, the Belarusian’s dominant serve and forceful playing style should prove decisive, allowing her to maintain her perfect record against Bronzetti.

Result: Aryna Sabalenka will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Aryna Sabalenka vs Lucia Bronzetti, third-round match at Indian Wells Open 2025?

Indian viewers can watch the BNP Paribas Open 2025 third-round match between Aryna Sabalenka and Lucia Bronzetti on Tennis TV, as there is no official broadcast partner for live telecast in India.

Viewers in the USA can catch the match live on Tennis Channel, while those in the UK can tune into Sky Sports. In Canada, the match will be available on DAZN. International viewers should check local listings for streaming options.

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