Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Aryna Sabalenka is confirmed to retain her World No. 1 position after the US Open.

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Cristina Bucsa, 6-1, 6-4 in just 73 minutes to halt the Spaniard’s progress at the 2025 US Open. In a dominant performance that underscored her status as WTA World No. 1, the Belarusian has advanced to her fifth straight quarter-final at Flushing Meadows.

By reaching her quarter-finals in all four Grand Slams this season, Sabalenka has brought up her 54th match win of the season, two shy of her 2024 tally. The top-seed is yet to drop a set ahead of her quarter-final face-off against Marketa Vondrousova.

2022 Wimbledon champion, Vondrousova, is playing her first quarter-final at Flushing Meadows since 2023.

4 – Since 2000, Aryna Sabalenka is now the fourth player to reach all four Women's Singles QFs at Grand Slams in a season as WTA #1:Martina Hingis (2000)Lindsay Davenport (2005)Serena Williams (2015-16)Aryna Sabalenka (2025) 🆕 Top.#USOpen | @usopen @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/rRdcyXj7rM

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) September 1, 2025

Vondrousova did not drop a set in the ongoing US Open until she ran into Elena Rybakina. The Czech prevailed over Rybakina, 6-4, 5-7, 6-2, in one hour and 51 minutes to go up 2-1 in their head-to-head.

The Czech made the most of Rybakina’s 38 unforced errors to set up her last-eight meeting with Sabalenka. The Kazakh’s error-prone game nullified the match-winning potential of the 40 winners she registered.

The left-handed Czech and the Belarusian are familiar foes at this point, with a 5-4 head-to-head record in Sabalenka’s favour. Their hard-court clashes also tilt in Sabalenka’s favour at 4-2, with their most recent match taking place at this year’s Cincinnati Open.

Match details

• Surface: Hard
• Tournament: US Open 2025
• Round: Fourth Round
• Date: September 2
• Venue: USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Centre, New York, United States

Also Read: No Pressure! Aryna Sabalenka’s subtle message for boyfriend Georgios Frangulis after ‘proposal’ during her match

​Preview

Vondrousova, unseeded in New York, joined the likes of Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, Naomi Osaka and Barbora Krejcikova as Grand Slam champion to make the last eight at Flushing Meadows.

Rybakina was Vondrousova’s second top-10 victim after knocking out World No. 4 Jasmine Paolini in the third round.

Sabalenka will retain her World No. 1 position after she secured her spot in the last eight. Her top spot after US Open was confirmed following her win over Cristina Bucsa in round three.

2 – Marketa Vondrousova is the first unseeded player to claim multiple WTA top 10 wins en route to a Grand Slam quarter-final since Garbine Muguruza, who went on to reach the final at the Australian Open in 2020. Zone.#USOpen | @usopen @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/uEujYeNr7y

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) September 1, 2025

Form

• Aryna Sabalenka: W-W-W-W-L
• Marketa Vondrousova: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 9
• Aryna Sabalenka: 5
• Marketa Vondrousova: 4

Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

• Sabalenka has a 54-10 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sabalenka has a 32-6 win-loss record in New York
• Sabalenka has won 74% of matches played on hard courts

Marketa Vondrousova

• Vondrousova has an 18-8 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Vondrousova has a 13-5 win-loss record in New York
• Vondrousova has won 62% of matches played on hard courts

Also Read: US Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sabalenka -333, Vondrousova +250.
• Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 (-120), Vondrousova +4.5 (-120).
• Total Games: Over 21.5 (-110), Under 21.5 (-125).
• 1st Set Winner: Sabalenka -250, Vondrousova +200.
• 1st Set Total Games: Over9.5 (+120), Under 9.5 (-163).

Match prediction

The courts of the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center will witness an enticing quarter-final clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova on Tuesday. The latest chapter of the Sabalenka – Vondrousova rivalry will play out at the Flushing Meadows arena.

Sabalenka enjoys a slim 5-4 lead in their head-to-head. The duo played each other twice on the Grand Slam stage, both times at the Australian Open.

Given Sabalenka’s status as defending champion and the 2025 US Open being her last opportunity at a Grand Slam title this season, expect Sabalenka to pull through.

Result: Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova, quarter-final match at 2025 US Open?

The quarter-final match will be available for Indian viewers via live streaming on JioHotstar while Star Sports will live telecast the match.

Sky UK and the Tennis Channel will broadcast it live within the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively.

For full worldwide broadcast details click here

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