Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2025

Zverev has made a strong start in his quest for a maiden Grand Slam trophy.

Alexander Zverev registered another dominating victory in the fourth round against Ugo Humbert to book a spot in the Australian Open 2025 quarterfinals. Hunting for his maiden Grand Slam title, the German has been nailing his serves so far and would hope to improve his break point conversion rate as the tournament proceeds.

Zverev had reached the semis of last year’s Australian Open edition, before losing to Daniil Medvedev. The German will face his first big test of the season against 12th seed Tommy Paul in the quarters. Historically, the American has fared well against Zverev and is yet to lose to the Tokyo Olympic gold medalist.

Match details

• Tournament: Australian Open 2025
• Stage: Quarter-final
• Date: January 21
• Venue: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
• Surface: Hard Court (Outdoor)

Preview

Zverev has dropped just a solitary set in his first four rounds but has competed against relatively lower-ranked players. Being the second seed, the German has had a favourable draw in the competition so far but will be in for a tough challenge against 12th seed Tommy Paul.

Paul began his campaign with a mighty scare against local hope Christopher O’Connell, but followed it with comprehensive triumphs over former US Open finalist, Kei Nishikori, Roberto Carballés and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the subsequent rounds. The American also holds the wood over Zverev in the duo’s past battles, having beaten the German on both occasions.

Form

Alexander Zverev: W-W-W-W-L

Tommy Paul: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

Matches: 1

Zverev: 1

Paul: 0

Zverev and Paul have met twice in the past, with the American winning on both counts. Their last encounter was in 2022 at the Indian Masters, with Paul winning the clash in three sets.

Stats

Alexander Zverev

• Zverev reached the last four at the Australian Open last season.
• Zverev is 29-9 in Melbourne.
• Zverev is ranked second currently.
• Zverev has a 75% winning rate on hard courts over the last 52 weeks.

Tommy Paul

• Paul reached the third round at the Australian Open last season.
• Paul is 15–5 in Melbourne.
• Paul is ranked twelveth currently.
• Paul has a 61% winning rate on hard courts over the last 52 weeks.

Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Paul +310, Zverev -385
• Spread: Paul -4.5 (1.76), Zverev +4.5 (2.00)
• Total sets: Over 1.83 (-21.5), Under 1.91 (+21.5)

Match prediction

Zverev and Paul haven’t faced each other since 2022 but will be familiar to their opponent’s style of play. Both players are tall and have similarities, but Zverev’s ability to hammer powerful serves and blazing forehands at crucial stages, makes him the favorite.

However Paul is expected to have his moments in the match. Zverev has shown signs of fatigue in lengthy matches, and the American is capable of playing the long game. The game could drift either ways, but eventually Zverev is expected to emerge victorious.

Prediction: Alexander Zverev to win in five sets.

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul, quarter-final match at Australian Open 2025?

Indian viewers can tune in to the 2025 Australian Open for the quarter-final round between Alexander Zverev and Tommy Paul on the Sony Network and their streaming service, SonyLiv. Viewers in the UK can watch the marquee tournament live on Eurosport and streaming partner Discovery Plus. ESPN and Tennis Channel will be broadcasting the tournament in the US along with streaming partners ESPN+ and Fubo.

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