Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2026
Alcaraz will play his third straight Australian Open quarter-final.
Carlos Alcaraz overcame Tommy Paul in straight sets on Sunday afternoon to advance to his 14th men’s singles quarter-final at a Grand Slam event. Alcaraz overcame Paul, who put on a competitive display, but lost 7-6(6), 6-4, 7-5 in two hours and 44 minutes and is 12-0 in sets played this fortnight.
The Spaniard now leads Bjorn Borg and Boris Becker (13) for most quarter-finals at a major before turning 23. Alcaraz struck 35 winners and won 79 per cent (52/66) of first serve points and ease into his third straight quarter-final in Melbourne Park.
Next up for the Spaniard World No. 1 is a quarter-final face-off with Alex de Minaur. Alcaraz leads De Minaur 5-0 in their head-to-head, winning four of those matches in straight sets.
De Minaur is looking to deliver a first home-grown champion since Mark Edmondson in 1976. The Australian is a step away from making the last four and emulating Lleyton Hewitt.
Melbourne Park has not seen an Aussie finalist since Hewitt made the title round in 2005.
De Minaur booked his spot in the last eight, posting an effortless 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 win against 10th seed Alexander Bublik. The Kzakh was a spectator as De Minaur converted six breakpoints and benefitted from Bublik’s 36 unforced errors to complete the win in 92 minutes.
Match details
- Tournament: Australian Open 2026
- Round: Quarter-final
- Date: January 27
- Venue: Melbourne, Australia
- Surface: Hard Court
Also Read: Carlos Alcaraz vs Roger Federer: Spanish ace reveals who’s the better golfer
Preview
Alcaraz will look to break his Melbourne Park quarterfinal jinx against De Minaur on Tuesday. The top seed is yet to progress past the last eight in four visits to the hard-court major.
With the men’s singles competition now in its second week, the winner of the Alcaraz – De Minaur meeting will find themselves taking on last year’s finalist, Alexander Zverev or the No. 25 seed Learner Tien. The American dispatched Daniil Medvedev in straight sets for his first Grand Slam quarterfinal.
The Norman Brookes Challenge Cup is the only Grand Slam trophy missing from his collection.
Form
- Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-L-W
- Alex de Minaur: W-W-L-L-L
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 5
- Carlos Alcaraz: 5
- Alex de Minaur: 0
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz has a 4-0 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Alcaraz has a 15-4 win-loss record at the Australian Open
- Alcaraz has won 77% of matches played on hard courts
Alex de Minaur
- De Minaur has a 6-1 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- De Minaur has a 22-8 win-loss record at the Australian Open
- De Minaur has won 65% of matches played on hard courts
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Alcaraz: -425, De Minaur +363.
- Spread: Alcaraz -5.5 (-130), De Minaur +6.5 (+133).
- Total Sets: Over 34.5 (-135), Under 36.5 (-108).
- First Set Winner: Alcaraz -250, De Minaur +215.
Match prediction
Alcaraz has been raising his level all through the tournament after early hiccups. He was tested once again when playing Tommy Paul but soaked up the pressure to deliver a comfortable straight-set win against the American.
The top seed has made the most of a favourable path to arrive at the quarter-final stage of the Australian Open, where he faces a familiar foe.
The 26-year-old De Minaur has found the quarter-final stage to be a wall at Grand Slam events. The Sydney native is to find a way past the last eight despite having made six quarter-final appearances.
Alcaraz’s game plan would involve the use of his forehand to push De Minaur deep and set up dropshot chances. The Australian would need to extend rallies and draw unforced errors from the top seed and utilise any half-chances against Alcaraz.
Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in four sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur quarter-final match at Australian Open 2026?
The clash will be broadcast on the Sony Network for Indian viewers. Residents of the United States can tune in to the Tennis Channel and ESPN. Fans in the United Kingdom can stream the match on Eurosport.
For full worldwide broadcast details click here.
Where and where will Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur quarter-final match take place?
The quarter-final match will be played at the Rod Laver Arena on January 27 (Tuesday). It has a tentative start time of 8:00 pm local time and 2:30 pm IST in India.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur?
They have clashed five times on tour previously, with the Spaniard leading the h2h clash by 5-0.
What happened in the last meeting between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur?
Their last meeting was at the season-ending ATP Finals last year. Alcaraz won the round-robin match in straight sets 7-6(5), 6-2.
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Meet Fazeel—a bibliophile and sci-fi aficionado who devours books and movies alike. His favorite form of exercise? Watching tennis from a perfectly positioned couch. Whether he's lost in a gripping novel or absorbed in a five-hour Grand Slam final, he's all in. Favorite quote: “You cannot be serious” – John McEnroe.