Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Australian Open 2026
Alcaraz will face off with Zverev in his 10th career Grand Slam semi-final.
Carlos Alcaraz ended Alex de Minaur’s aspirations of making the semi-finals at his home event with a convincing display. The Spaniard, who conjured up a 7-5, 6-2, 6-1 victory in two hours and 15 minutes, will now make his semi-final debut at Melbourne Park.
Initially pegged back in the 58-minute opening set by De Minaur, the Spaniard regrouped for his sixth straight victory over the Aussie. The top seed is yet to lose to De Minaur in half a dozen meetings on the ATP Tour.
If De Minaur had won, he would have become the first Australian semi-finalist in Melbourne since Lleyton Hewitt in 2005. Despite bringing his trademark tenacity to the contest, the No. 6 seed from Sydney lost the match, appearing to run out of steam following the closely fought opening set.
Alcaraz is two wins away from becoming the youngest man to complete the career Grand Slam. The World No. 1 must overcome last year’s finalist, Alexander Zverev, as he chases his maiden Australian Open title.
Zverev, also looking for his first Grand Slam title, ended American Learner Tien’s impressive run at the 2026 Australian Open in the last eight. The German secured the 6-3, 6-7(5), 6-1, 7-6(3) victory in three hours, 10 minutes, and advanced to his third straight semi-final at the venue
Zverev, the No. 3 seed, fired 24 aces and 56 winners to book his place in the last four. The 20-year-old Tien was making his quarter-final debut at a Grand Slam. Tien had earlier accounted for former World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev in straight sets in the fourth round.
Match details
- Tournament: Australian Open 2026
- Round: Semi-finals
- Date: January 30
- Venue: Melbourne, Australia
- Surface: Hard Court
Also Read: Which player has the best odds to win Australian Open 2026?
Preview
Alcaraz and Zverev will face off on Friday, with their head-to-head record locked at 6-6. The Spaniard has won three of their last four matches. Zverev ended up winning at their previous meeting in Melbourne in the 2024 quarter-finals.
The meetings at Grand Slams between the duo have been close, with three of their four clashes at majors taking at least four sets to yield a result.
The winner on Friday will go on to face either defending champion Jannik Sinner or 10-time Australian Open champion Novak Djokovic in the title round.
All the remaining contestants in the men’s singles semi-finals are the top four seeds at the event. This is the first occasion in Melbourne since 2013 and the first time at a Grand Slam since the 2019 Roland-Garros.
Djokovic is fortunate to be in the last four after Lorenzo Musetti retired while leading two sets to nil. Sinner had an easy day at the office with straight sets win over American Ben Shelton.
Form
- Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-W
- Alexander Zverev: W-W-W-W-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 12
- Carlos Alcaraz: 6
- Alexander Zverev: 6
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz has a 5-0 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Alcaraz has a 16-4 win-loss record at the Australian Open
- Alcaraz has won 77% of matches played on hard courts
Alexander Zverev
- Zverev has a 6-1 win-loss record in the 2026 season.
- Zverev has a 36-10 win-loss record at the Australian Open.
- Zverev has won 68% of matches played on hard courts.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Alcaraz: -526, Zverev +400
- Spread: Alcaraz -6 (-101), Zverev +6 (-120)
- Total Games: Over 35.5 (-122), Under 35.5 (+100)
- First Set Winner: Alcaraz -280, Zverev +230
Match prediction
Alcaraz has been unstoppable in Melbourne as he cleared the quarter-final hurdle for the first time. The Spaniard is yet to drop a set in the tournament and has been clinical in taking down his opponents with his aggressive brand of tennis.
Meanwhile, Zverev will be a threat with his big-serving abilities in what will be his fourth semi-final in Australia. His ability to score aces will earn the German free points. Zverev was runner-up last season and will be eager to make amends for the lost opportunity.
The German, with a fair share of experience in the business end of Grand Slams, is capable of taking the fight to Alcaraz. Naturally, the Spaniard will counter, and this is where the top seed will shine courtesy of his shot-making variety and ability to suffocate his rivals.
Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in four sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev, semifinal match at Australian Open 2026?
The semi-final will be broadcast on the Sony Network for Indian viewers. Residents of the United States can tune in to the Tennis Channel and ESPN. Fans in the United Kingdom can stream the match on Eurosport.
For full worldwide broadcast details click here.
Where and when will Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev semi-final match take place?
The clash will be held at the Rod Laver Arena on January 30 (Friday) and is scheduled to begin at 2:30 pm local time and 9:00 am IST in India.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev?
They have met 12 times on tour previously with the h2h level with 6 wins each.
Have Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev met previously at the Australian Open?
Yes, their only previous meeting at Melbourne came in 2024 in the quarter-final round. Zverev won that match in four sets (6-1, 6-3, 6-7(2), 6-4.
What happened in the most recent meeting between Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev?
Their most recent meeting came at Indian Wells last year once again in the quarter-final round. Alcaraz sealed his win in straight sets 6-3, 6-1.
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Meet Fazeel—a bibliophile and sci-fi aficionado who devours books and movies alike. His favorite form of exercise? Watching tennis from a perfectly positioned couch. Whether he's lost in a gripping novel or absorbed in a five-hour Grand Slam final, he's all in. Favorite quote: “You cannot be serious” – John McEnroe.