Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: US Open 2025

Carlos Alcaraz is making a strong case to finish the tournament as the World No. 1

Carlos Alcaraz powered past Italy’s Luciano Darderi 6-2, 6-4, 6-0 in the 2025 US Open third round, notching his 80th Grand Slam victory. Despite a brief medical timeout for a precautionary knee check in the second set, the second seed showed no signs of slowing down, extending his exceptional run to 42-2 since April.

The 2022 champion dominated from the start, breaking Darderi early and capitalizing on his opponent’s double faults at crucial moments. Alcaraz closed out the match with precision and flair, setting up a fourth-round clash against Arthur Rinderknech.

The Spaniard will back himself to reach at least the semi-finals, with his section of the draw now considerably lighter. Early exits from Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina have cleared several major hurdles, leaving Alcaraz with a far smoother path to the final four.

Also Read: Carlos Alcaraz’s projected path to US Open 2025 final

Match details

• Tournament: US Open 2025
• Round: Round of 16
• Date: August 31
• Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York
• Surface: Hard Court

Preview

Arthur Rinderknech delivered a career-best performance at the US Open, defeating fellow Frenchman Benjamin Bonzi 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-2 in the third round. The 2-hour 39-minute victory marks his deepest run in the tournament, surpassing his previous best of reaching the third round in 2023.

Rinderknech produced a stunning upset in opening round at Wimbledon 2025, eliminating #3 ranked Alexander Zverev in a five-set thriller. His campaign at the Flushing Meadows is outlined by his victory over #18 seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

These two have met thrice previously, with Alcaraz emerging victorious in every instance. In 2025, they met at Queen’s with the Spaniard prevailing in straight sets. Their first exchange came at the 2021 US Open round of 64, which Alcaraz won in four sets.

“The hair just continues to thicken – so does the plot.” 😂💈Carlos Alcaraz arrives to the grounds ahead of his match with Arthur Rinderknech. 👋#TCLive | #USOpen pic.twitter.com/VkPlCrOICf

— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) August 31, 2025

Form

• Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-W
• Arthur Rinderknech: W-W-W-L-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 3
• Carlos Alcaraz : 3
• Arthur Rinderknech: 0

Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

• Alcaraz has a 57-6 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Alcaraz has a 20-3 win-loss record at the US Open
• Alcaraz has won 75% of the matches played on hard courts

Arthur Rinderknech

• Rinderknech has a 22-28 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Rinderknech has a 8-4 win-loss record at the US Open
• Rinderknech has won 59% of the matches played on hard courts

Also Read: US Open 2025: Live streaming, TV channel, where & how to watch

Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Alcaraz -2500, Rinderknech +1400
• Spread: Alcaraz -7.5 (-115), Rinderknech +7.5 (-108)
• Total Games: Over 30.5 (-122), Under 31.5 (-118)
• 1st Set Winner: Alcaraz -600, Rinderknech +460
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 9.5 (+100), Under 9.5 (-114)

Match prediction

Alcaraz is heavily favoured to defeat Rinderknech in their US Open 2025 matchup, boasting a dominant 3-0 head-to-head record against the Frenchman. While Rinderknech has enjoyed a strong run—making his deepest appearance yet in New York, Alcaraz’s superior consistency, power, and big-match mentality should prove decisive.

Expect Rinderknech to challenge at times with his big serve and potentially steal a set against the Spaniard, but Alcaraz’s baseline control and return game make him likely to advance eventually to the last eight.

Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in four sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech, fourth-round match at 2025 US Open?

Indian viewers can watch the US Open 2025 fourth-round clash between Carlos Alcaraz and Arthur Rinderknech on the Star Sports network and streamed via JioHotstar.

UK fans can watch on Sky Sports Tennis, the Sky Sports+ app, or stream with a NOW TV Sports Pass. In the USA, coverage will be on ESPN platforms—ESPN2, ESPNEWS, and ESPN+ across all rounds.

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