Iga Swiatek vs Alexandra Eala prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Swiatek, the Madrid Open defending champion, is without a title this season.

The Manolo Santana Stadium at Manzanares Park will be where Iga Świątek and Alexandra Eala face off for the second time. A straightforward 6-3, 6-2 win against Viktoriya Tomova allowed Eala to progress to the second round and set up a rematch with Swiatek.

The one-hour, 16-minute victory earned the Filipina a second shot at Iga Swiatek at a WTA 1000 event following their clash in Miami last month. The 19-year-old Eala broke into the WTA Top after making the semi-finals at Miami as a wildcard to settle in at World No. 72.   

Swiatek has a 22-7 record this season but has the misfortune of losing all three semifinals she has played in 2025. The Pole’s most recent final and title was at Roland Garros in 2024.    

Match Details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025 Women’s Singles
• Round: Second round
• Date: April 24th
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Preview

Iga Swiatek’s aura of invincibility has been diminishing since the 2025 season got underway. At this time last year, the 23-year-old had registered wins at Qatar and Indian Wells and was on her way to victory in Madrid.  

2025 started with a semi-final appearance on the hard courts of Melbourne, but an unexpected loss later on has left the Polish player wondering what’s next. The loss to World No. 140 and wildcard entrant Alexandra Eala at Miami would have hit Swiatek hard. The 6-2, 7-5 loss to the newcomer was nothing less than a capitulation by the Pole.   

Eala was yet to beat a Top 100 player in a tour-level event before the Miami Open. Her semi-final run saw her defeat three Grand Slam champions – Iga Swiatek, Madison Keys, and Jelena Ostapenko.    

Then there is the prospect of Swiatek running into Jelena Ostapenko for the third time since February. The No.2 seed is set to face Ostapenko, who remains a thorn in her side, in the fourth round in Madrid. A three-set comeback win in the Stuttgart Open quarter-finals saw the Latvian improve to 6-0 in her head-to-head over Swiatek.

Form

• Iga Swiatek: L-W-L-W-W
• Alexandra Eala: W-L-W-L-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 1
• Iga Swiatek: 0 
• Alexandra Eala: 1

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: Live streaming, TV channel, where & how to watch?

Stats

Iga Swiatek:

• Swiatek has a 22-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Swiatek has a 13-2 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Swiatek owns an 83% win record on clay.  

Alexandra Eala:

• Eala has a 16-9 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Eala has a 2-2 win-loss record in Madrid.
• Eala owns a 50% win record on clay.

Iga Swiatek vs Alexandra Eala: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Swiatek -700, Eala +550.
• Spread: Swiatek -5.5 (-135), Eala +6.5 (-126). 
• Total games: Over 18.5 (-110), Under 18.5 (-105).

Match Prediction

While Eala’s victory over Swiatek in Miami was a standout moment of the 2025 season, besides revealing a chink in Swiatek’s armour, beating the defending champion in Madrid in their upcoming second-round match would be a major upset.  

Also Read: Top five title favourites in women’s singles at Madrid Open 2025

Swiątek may be motivated to avenge her recent loss, while Eala could draw confidence from her previous victory. While the Pole will look to avenge her recent loss to the teenager, Eala has the statistical edge heading into their second-round match. 

While the 23-year-old Swiatek maintains a 13-2 record in Madrid, she has been vulnerable of late. However, Swiatek is a seasoned campaigner, and for Eala, consecutive high-profile matches with a player of Swiatek’s calibre could be a challenge that is too big to surmount.  

Result: Swiatek will win in three sets.

Where and how to watch the live telecast and live streaming of the second-round match between Iga Swiatek and Alexandra Eala at the Madrid Open 2025?

The second-round match between Iga Swiatek and Alexandra Eala will be live telecast and streamed on the Tennis Channel in India and the United States. Meanwhile, Sky Sports will air the tournament in the United Kingdom.

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