Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Swiatek defeated Noskova to continue her title defense in Madrid.

Iga Swiatek, the reigning champion overcame a thrilling opening encounter against Alexandra Eala, and backed her performance with a clinical straight sets victory over Linda Noskova. The World No #2 has to defend 1000 points in Madrid, and will be relieved to not see Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 16 clash.

The Latvian recently bageled the Pole in Stuttgart, extended her lead to 6-0 on the head-to-head count. With Ostapenko out of the tournament, Swiatek’s hopes of defending the Madrid Open and ending a nearly one-year draught of a title has elevated.

Match Details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
• Round: Fourth round
• Date: April 28
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay

Preview

Swiatek seeks a quarter-final berth, and will face 13th seed Diana Shnaider in the fourth round, marking the duo’s maiden meeting. The Russian reached the third round of the Australian Open at the start of the season, but since then hasn’t won more than two games across the eight tournaments she has featured in.

Shnaider has already registered her career-best outing in Madrid, having suffered a first-round exit on debut in 2024. The 21-year-old has tasted remarkable success in doubles, alongside Mirra Andreeva, and would be hoping to replicate the same in singles. Having said that, the fifth seeded team’s shocking upset in women’s doubles could deter Shnaider’s confidence ahead of a crucial match.

The Russian has cruised through her first two matches, winning both in straight sets. However, given her struggles this season, she will need to produce something extraordinary to overcome arguably the best clay-court player of the current generation in women’s tennis.

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Form

• Iga Swiatek: W-W-L-W-L
• Diana Shnaider: W-W-L-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Iga Swiatek: 0
• Diana Shnaider: 0

Stats

Iga Swiatek

• Swiatek has a 24-7 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Swiatek has a 15-2 win-loss record in Madrid
• Swiatek has an 88% win record on clay

Diana Shnaider

• Shnaider has a 11-10 win-loss record in 2025
• Shnaider has a 4-1 win-loss record in Madrid
• Shnaider has a 50% win record on clay

Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Swiatek -530, Shnaider +450.
• Spread: Swiatek -5.5 (-104), Shnaider +5.5 (-112). 
• Total games: Over 19.5 (-112), Under 19.5 (-108).

Match Prediction

Iga Swiatek is eyeing a repeat of previous year’s sensational performance and looks set to reach the quarter-finals. While Shnaider is no pushover. the Pole is expected to emerge victorious, given her sensational accuracy and ability on clay to outplay her opponents. Her serving and excellent returning ability, coupled with defensive game style makes her a top contender for the title.

Result: Swiatek will win in straight sets.

Also Read: Madrid Open: Full list of title winners

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Iga Swiatek vs Diana Shnaider, fourth-round match at Madrid Open 2025?

The fourth-round match between Iga Swiatek and Diana Shnaider at the Madrid Open 2025 will be broadcast on the Tennis Channel for viewers in India and the United States. Meanwhile, Sky Sports will air the tournament in the United Kingdom.

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