Italy vs USA final prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Billie Jean King Cup 2025

The highly anticipated Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini contest might potentially decide the outcome.

Italy booked their place in a third straight Billie Jean King Cup final after Sara Errani and Jasmine Paolini sealed victory with a commanding 6-2, 6-3 doubles win over Marta Kostyuk and Lyudmyla Kichenok.

The triumph made Italy the first team since Czechia in 2016 to reach three consecutive finals, with captain Tathiana Garbin praising her players’ unity, fight, and pride in representing their country.

Central to Italy’s success was World No. 8 Jasmine Paolini, who kept her team alive with a dramatic comeback win over Elina Svitolina, rallying from a set and 4-2 down to prevail 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 to register her first ever win over the Ukrainian.

Meanwhile, the United States reached the 2025 Billie Jean King Cup final with a 2-0 victory over Great Britain. Emma Navarro sparked the win by rallying past Sonay Kartal 3-6, 6-4, 6-3, before Jessica Pegula sealed the tie with a 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 comeback against Katie Boulter, giving the U.S. an unassailable lead in their first meeting with Britain in over three decades.

World No. 7 Pegula proved decisive with a crucial break in the final set, while Navarro credited her teammates’ support for lifting her through a tense opener.

Also Read: Laver Cup 2025: Updated schedule, fixtures, results, live streaming details

With this result, the Americans, 18-time winners of the competition, will contest their first final since 2017 as they chase a record-extending 19th crown against an in-form Italian side.

52 years ago today! #BattleOfTheSexes pic.twitter.com/tWRicuH9X6

— Billie Jean King (@BillieJeanKing) September 20, 2025

Italy vs USA match details

• Tournament: Billie Jean King Cup
• Round: Finals
• Date: 21st September
• Venue: Shenzhen Bay Sports Center Arena, Shenzhen, China 
• Surface: Hard Court

Preview

While the lineup is yet to be announced, one expects former top-10 player Emma Navarro could meet Elisabetta Cocciaretto, who is the obvious weak link of this Italian team. Cocciaretto is currently outside the top-90 rankings.

Jessica Pegula, the highest ranked seed out of both teams was hammered by Elena Rybakina in the opening round, but did well to comeback from a set down to confirm USA’s berth in the finals.

Paolini has not lost a match so far in the first two rounds, and this battle between the two top-10 WTA stars might be the difference in the end.

The doubles round features seasoned Italians Jasmine Paolini and Sara Errani taking on Taylor Townsend. While the American is a proven force in doubles, her potential partners — whether Jessica Pegula or the relatively inexperienced pairing of McCartney Kessler and Hailey Baptiste — do not bring the same level of chemistry or pedigree to the court as her rivals.

Form

• Italy: W-W-W-W-W
• USA: W-W-L-L-W

*Above form is at BJK Cup

Italy vs USA tennis Head-to-head record

• Matches: 15
• Italy: 5
• USA: 10

Stats

Italy

• Italy have Jasmine Paolini as their only top-10 player.
• Italy are the defending champions of BJK.

USA

• USA have Jessica Pegula as their only top-10 player.
• USA lost the opening round of 2024 BJK.

Italy vs USA Betting tips and odds

• TBA

Match Prediction

Navarro should prevail easily over Elisabetta Cocciaretto. While she has undergone a slump in form recently, the American remains unbeaten over the course of her first two rounds.

Pegula would look to seal the title against Pegula. The task won’t be easy, as the Italian plays with a fearless mindset and Pegula hasn’t looked at her best form in Shenzhen so far.

Interestingly, Pegula boasts a flawless 5-0 record against Paolini. However, the Italian had ended the trend against Svitolina in the final four, and might repeat her heroics against Pegula.

If the tie goes down to a decisive doubles match, Italy will start as clear favorites. The experienced duo of Sara Errani and Jasmine Paolini are well poised to handle any American challenge, as they look to secure a fourth consecutive Billie Jean King Cup title.

Result: Italy to win 2-1

Where and how to watch live streaming and TV broadcast of Italy vs USA final match at Billie Jean King Cup 2025?

The Billie Jean King Cup 2025 finals will be shown live on Tennis Channel International and DD Sports TV channel in India, and you can also stream it on Tennis TV. In the UK, you can catch the action live on BBC or Tennis Channel, while fans in the USA can watch it on the Tennis Channel.

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