Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien final prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: China Open 2025

Sinner and Tien will be meeting for the first time in their careers.

2023 champion and last year’s runner-up, Jannik Sinner, will be up against 19-year-old Learner Tien in the final of China Open 2025, hoping for a second title in Beijing on Wednesday.

Sinner saw-off Australian Alex de Minaur in the semi-finals, maintaining his dominance over the Australian with a 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 victory to extend his perfect record to 11-0 in their head-to-head.

Despite De Minaur’s spirited fight in the second set which saw him level terms, Sinner raised his level in the decider, breaking early and dictating play with his forehand to reach his 30th tour-level final and ninth consecutive hard-court title match.

The win also makes the Italian just the second player after Novak Djokovic to reach three straight Beijing finals. The 24-year-old Italian, who already lifted titles at the Australian Open and Wimbledon this season, will now face American teenager Tien in the championship match.

Chasing his 21st career title, Sinner remains locked in a year-end No. 1 battle with Carlos Alcaraz, possibly trailing the Spaniard by only 760 points, should he triumph against Tien in the finals.

Match details

• Tournament: China Open 2025
• Round: Final
• Date: October 1
• Venue: Beijing, China
• Surface: Hard Court

​​Preview

After dominating nearly the entirety of the match, and nearly sealing his fate, Daniil Medvedev’s China Open hopes ended in dramatic fashion against 19-year-old American Learner Tien. The Russian retired while trailing 5-7, 7-5, 4-0, struggling with cramps after blowing a 4-1 lead in the second set.

Medvedev could barely move in the decider but insisted on continuing. His effort drew a controversial “lack of effort” warning from the umpire, prompting heated exchanges in which he accused officials of “trying to intimidate” him despite battling through visible physical struggles.

Medvedev, who had beaten Alexander Zverev in the quarter-finals, argued he was giving his best despite his limited mobility, demanding accountability from the umpire and supervisor.

Ultimately, he managed just two more games before shaking hands with Tien, sarcastically thanking the umpire on his way out.

Tien advanced to his first ATP Tour final, where he will face World No.1 Jannik Sinner, marking the pair’s first ever showdown on the circuit.

Sinner vs Tien For The Title! 🏆Who takes home the crown?@ChinaOpen | #ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/iB3QwMWwMc

— ATP Tour (@atptour) September 30, 2025

Form

• Jannik Sinner: W-W-W-W-L
• Learner Tien: W-W-W-W-L

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Jannik Sinner: 0
• Learner Tien: 0

Stats

Jannik Sinner

• Sinner has a 41-5 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Sinner has a 13-1 win-loss record in Beijing
• Sinner has won 80% of matches played on hard courts

Learner Tien

• Tien has a 30-22 win-loss record in the 2025 season
• Tien has a 4-0 win-loss record in Beijing
• Tien has won 75% of matches played on hard courts

Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Sinner -2500, Tien +1400
• Spread: Sinner -5.5 (-152), Tien +6.5 (-150)
• Total Games: Over 18.5 (-120), Under 18.5 (-103)
• 1st Set Winner: Sinner -800, Tien +600
• 1st Set Total Games: Over 8.5 (-175), Under 8.5 (+135)

Match prediction

While Tien demonstrated incredible grit and resilience to stay in the match against Medvedev, he was outclassed by the Russian for nearly the entire battle, and eventually lost as a result of his dire physical situation.

Against Sinner, however, the American has little chance. The Italian, runner-up in Beijing last year, now has a clear path to the trophy against an opponent who promises much for the future but is still raw and lacks the weapons to truly test the top seed. A third title of 2025 looks well within reach for the 23-year-old Italian.

Result: Jannik Sinner to win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien, final match at China Open 2025?

The summit-clash will be available for Indian viewers on Discovery India. American viewers can tune in to the Tennis Channel, while Sky UK will broadcast the quarter-final meeting for viewers within the United Kingdom.

Full worldwide broadcast details here

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