Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head, preview: Madrid Open 2025

Pegula won the Charleston Open to become the new World No #3.

Jessica Pegula has been in fine form this year, and has done well consistently across tours. The American displaced fellow counterpart Coco Gauff to re-claim the third position on the WTA rankings. Pegula triumphed in Charleston, taking advantage of an easy draw with several top seeds opting to skip the event.

However, Pegula’s impressive winning streak and momentum was halted by Ekaterina Alexandrova, who handed her straight sets defeat in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stuttgart Open.

Pegula bounced back in Madrid with a commanding win over Eva Lys in the second round and will now look to build on that performance as she aims to solidify her World No #3 ranking and apply pressure in the race for the No #2 spot.

Match details

• Tournament: Madrid Open 2025
• Round: Third round
• Date: April 27
• Venue: Manzanares Park, Madrid, Spain
• Surface: Clay

Preview

Jessica Pegula is set to face Moyuka Uchijima for the first time in their careers in the Round of 32 at the Madrid Open. Uchijima produced her biggest result of the year by stunning 26th seed Ons Jabeur to reach the third round.

However, the Japanese player has struggled to find consistent momentum this season, often falling short against higher-ranked opponents. A win over World No #3 Pegula would mark the biggest triumph of Uchijima’s career.

Pegula, one of the title contenders in Madrid, has already claimed two trophies this year — at the ATX Open and the Charleston Open. She has also made two additional finals in Adelaide and Miami, showcasing impressive consistency. Now, the American is aiming for another strong campaign on clay, a surface where she has historically found success harder to come by.

Form

• Jessica Pegula: W-L-W-W-W
• Moyuka Uchijima: W-W-L-W-W

Head-to-head record

• Matches: 0
• Pegula: 0
• Uchijima: 0

Also Read: Madrid Open 2025: All you need to know about prize money & points on offer

Stats

Jessica Pegula

• Pegula maintains a 27-7 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Pegula has won 63% of matches played on clay courts.
• Pegula is currently ranked third.

Moyuka Uchijima

• Uchijima maintains a 14-9 win-loss record in 2025. 
• Uchijima owns a 65% win record on clay.
• Pegula is currently ranked 56.

Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima: Betting tips and odds

• Moneyline: Pegula -700, Uchijima +575.
• Spread: Pegula -5.5 (+132), Uchijima +6.5 (-143). 
• Total games: Over 18.5 (-120), Under 19.5 (-133).

Match Prediction

Considering the two players’ contrasting form this season, Pegula emerges as the strong contender for winning this contest. The American should cruise to a comfortable straight sets victory over the Japanese and keep her pursuit of a second clay title in 2025, alive.

Result: Pegula will win in straight sets.

Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima, third-round match at Madrid Open 2025?

The third-round match between Jessica Pegula and Moyuka Uchijima will be broadcast on the Tennis Channel for viewers in India and the United States. Meanwhile, Sky Sports will air the tournament in the United Kingdom.

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