Preview: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head | US Open 2026
Alcaraz and Paul to square off for the second time in 2026.
Carlos Alcaraz took on a big-hitting Yibing Wu to emerge victorious and stretch his winning streak at Grand Slams to 17 straight wins.
The defending champion powered to a 6-3, 6-4, 6-1 victory in two hours, 21 minutes to ease into the fourth round. Alcaraz dropped serve twice, but made amends by breaking his opponent’s serve on seven occasions.
Wu kept the pressure on by unloading from the forehand side, but eventually succumbed as Alcaraz put pressure in the return games to carve out a two-set lead.
Next up for Alcaraz is a fourth-round meeting with Tommy Paul. The American came through in a rollercoaster five-set battle with Alexander Bublik on Louis Armstrong Stadium.
Paul scripted the 6-4, 3-6, 6-7(4), 6-1, 6-3 victory in three hours and 15 minutes. The American World No. 21 avenged his third-round loss to the Kazakh at the 2025 US Open and took a step closer to making a quarter-final debut on home turf.
The 29-year-old from New Jersey has reached the last eight at the other three majors—Australian Open (2023, 2025), Roland Garros (2025) and Wimbledon (2024).
Match details
Catch Every Update, Anytime, Anywhere
- Tournament: US Open 2026
- Round: Third Round
- Date: September 4
- Venue: New York, United States of America
- Surface: Hard Court
Related: Watch: Fans go wild as Carlos Alcaraz takes off shirt at US Open
Preview
Two-time US Open champion Alcaraz is back in the Round of 16 after getting the better of Yibing Wu on Friday. Paul, who knocked out World No. 15 Alexander Bublik in a five-setter, will be standing between Alcaraz and a spot in the quarter-finals.
Paul has matched his best-ever appearance at the Big Apple ahead of his second meeting of the season with Alcaraz. The American trails Alcaraz 6-2 in their head-to-head as they prepare to pick up from where they left off.
They recently squared off at the Australian Open in January, where the Spaniard carved out a 7-6(6), 6-4, 7-5 victory in the fourth round.
Paul has lost all five previous meetings to the World No. 3 and faces an uphill battle when the two clash for their ninth tour-level meeting.
Form
- Carlos Alcaraz: W-W-W-W-L
- Tommy Paul: W-W-W-L-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 8
- Carlos Alcaraz: 6
- Tommy Paul: 2
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz has a 25-3 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Alcaraz has a 27-3 win-loss record at the US Open
- Alcaraz has won 78% of matches played on hard courts
Tommy Paul
- Paul has a 39-16 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Paul has a 13-8 win-loss record at the US Open
- Paul has won 61% of matches played on hard courts
Related: US Open 2026: Carlos Alcaraz with rare Grand Slam feat
Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Alcaraz: -357, Paul +400
- Spread: Alcaraz -6.5 (+110), Paul +6.5 (-108)
- Total Sets: Over 35.5 (-102), Under 35.5 (+100)
- First Set Winner: Alcaraz -244, Paul +220
Match prediction
Tommy Paul takes on Carlos Alcaraz in Sunday’s fourth-round match as he bids to become the first active American player to reach the quarter-finals of every Grand Slam.
Alcaraz is playing in New York practically straight from the couch following a five-month layoff with a wrist injury.
Without Sinner around and with the Spaniard all set to make the second week, he could become the first man since 2008 to defend his US Open title.
The World No. 3 played well in his first three rounds to reach the last 16 in Queens. With a 90% win rate at the venue, he will look to extend his head-to-head lead over Tommy Paul and reach his sixth consecutive Grand Slam quarter-final.
Result: Carlos Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul, fourth-round match at US Open 2026?
The fourth-round match between Alcaraz and Paul will stream live for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar. ESPN will broadcast the event live in the United States. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports takes over broadcasting duties.
Where and when will Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul fourth-round match take place at US Open 2026?
The round of 16 clash between Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will be played at the Arthur Ashe Stadium on September 6 (Sunday). The match has a tentative start time of 2 pm local time (11:30 pm IST).
What is the overall head-to-head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul?
They have clashed eight times on tour, with Alcaraz winning six matches while Paul has won two.
Has Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul met at Grand Slams before?
Yes, they have met thrice in Slams before, and Alcaraz has won all three meetings, including at the Australian Open earlier this season.
Has Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul met at the US Open before?
No, this is set to be their first-ever meeting at Flushing Meadows.
Who is the favourite to win the round of 16 match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul at US Open 2026?
Alcaraz is playing in New York practically straight from the couch following a five-month layoff with a wrist injury. Without Sinner around and with the Spaniard all set to make the second week, he could become the first man since 2008 to defend his US Open title. The World No. 3 played well in his first three rounds to reach the last 16 in Queens. With a 90% win rate at the venue, he will look to extend his head-to-head lead over Tommy Paul and reach his sixth consecutive Grand Slam quarter-final.
For more updates, follow Khel Now on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram; download the Khel Now Android App or IOS App and join our community on Whatsapp & Telegram