Preview: Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff prediction, betting tips & odds, head-to-head | US Open 2026
Elena Rybakina ended Qinwen Zheng’s fairytale run in New York to reach her first semi-final at Flushing Meadows. The Kazakh also became the 30th WTA World No. 1 after a 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 win, taking two hours and 14 minutes to subdue Zheng.
Rybakina was down a break in the decider at 4-3, but rallied back to win the final three games to make the last four. It was a high-stakes match, as the No. 2 seed was one of the four players who could finish the Flushing Meadows fortnight as No. 1.
The 27-year-old ended Aryna Sabalenka’s nearly two-year reign at the top, while Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff must wait for a chance to contend for the top spot.
Rybakina will face No. 4 seed Gauff in the semi-finals.
Related: Elena Rybakina displaces Aryna Sabalenka to become new WTA World No. 1
Coco Gauff fought back from a set down to win in three sets against Mirra Andreeva. The American staved off two match points before registering a 2-6, 7-6 (7), 6-2 in 2 hours, 19 minutes on Arthur Ashe Stadium on Wednesday.
Her victory over the fifth-seeded Andreeva sends her into the last four in New York for the second time.
Gauff has improved her record against Andreeva to 6-0, and now joins Sabalenka, Rybakina and Jessica Pegula – marking just the second time in the Open Era that the Top 4 seeds find themselves in the US Open women’s singles semi-finals.
Match details
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- Tournament: US Open 2026
- Round: Semifinal
- Date: September 10
- Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium, New York
- Surface: Hard Court
Preview
Rybakina ousted Qinwen Zheng in a tight three-set tussle to make the last four at the Big Apple for the first time. Prior to that, the Kazakh had taken down former World No. 1 and two-time US Open champion Naomi Osaka convincingly, 6-1, 6-4, to set up the match with Zheng.
For Rybakina, a third career Grand Slam is at stake and the season’s second after defeating Sabalenka for the 2026 Australian Open crown. The Kazakh also lifted the Wimbledon trophy in 2022.
Meanwhile, Gauff, coming off a title run in Cincinnati, produced a third comeback win over Andreeva to keep hopes of an American champion alive. Her compatriot Jessica Pegula will take on two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka in the other semi-final.
Should Gauff and Pegula make the title round, it will be the first all-American final since Sloane Stephens defeated Madison Keys in 2017.
Rybakina and Gauff are tied at 1-1 in their head-to-head. Gauff will be seeking her seventh Grand Slam semifinal with the home crowd advantage on her side. Rybakina has been a consistent performer all season and will look to add the US Open trophy to her growing collection.
Form
- Elena Rybakina: W-W-W-W-W
- Coco Gauff: W-W-W-W-W
Head-to-head record
- Matches: 2
- Elena Rybakina: 1
- Coco Gauff: 1
Stats
Elena Rybakina
- Rybakina has a 47-13 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Rybakina has a 14-7 win-loss record at the US Open
- Rybakina has won 70% of matches played on hard courts
Coco Gauff
- Gauff has a 45-13 win-loss record in the 2026 season
- Gauff has a 25-6 win-loss record at the US Open
- Gauff has won 71% of matches played on hard courts
Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff: Betting tips and odds
- Moneyline: Rybakina: +102, Gauff -106
- Spread: Rybakina +0.5 (-110), Gauff -0.5 (-105)
- Total Sets: Over 22.5 (+100), Under 22.5 (-109)
- First Set Winner: Rybakina -109, Gauff -109
Match prediction
Gauff fired the first salvo in their head-to-head, winning a three-setter in Toronto in 2022. Rybakina flipped the script at the same venue over the summer to even the score.
The American will play her first US Open semi-final since her title run in 2023 after a tough battle with Andreeva. Rybakina will be on a high after sealing the World No. 1 position after a seesaw battle with qualifier Qinwen Zheng.
It will be a clash of styles between big-serving Rybakina, who is also a powerful striker of the ball, and Gauff, who brings her athleticism and a lethal backhand to the table.
Rybakina’s first-strike tennis hands her the edge in the upcoming contest. Gauff’s fate will hinge on how well she manages her serve and minimise her unforced errors.
Result: Elena Rybakina to win in three sets.
Where and how to watch live telecast and live streaming of Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff semi-final match at US Open 2026?
The semi-final match between Rybakina and Gauff will stream live for Indian viewers on Jio Hotstar. ESPN will broadcast the event live in the United States. In the United Kingdom, Sky Sports takes over broadcasting duties.
Where and when will Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff match take place at US Open 2026?
The semi-final match will be played at the Arthur Ashe Stadium on September 10 (Thursday). It has tentative start time of 8:10 pm local time (5:40 am Friday in India).
What is the overall head-to-head record between Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff?
They have only met twice previously on tour, and both share a win each. Coincidentally, both meetings came at the Toronto Open.
Have Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina met at Grand Slams before?
No, this is set to be their first-ever clash at Grand Slams.
Who is the favourite to win the Elena Rybakina vs Coco Gauff semi-final match at US Open 2026?
It will be a clash of styles between big-serving Rybakina, who is also a powerful striker of the ball, and Gauff, who brings her athleticism and a lethal backhand to the table. Rybakina’s first-strike tennis hands her the edge in the upcoming contest. Gauff’s fate will hinge on how well she manages her serve and minimise her unforced errors.
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